Free MLB Picks Today: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins 9/3/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins 9/3/22
Sat 3rd September 2022

Hot-hitting Michael Harris II will be looking to extend his 10-game hitting streak as the Atlanta Braves (82-51) host the Miami Marlins (55-76) at Truist Park on Saturday. The Braves took Friday’s series opener 8-1, their sixth straight head-to-head victory and 10th in 14 games this season. Starter Charlie Morton went 5.2 innings, allowing one run on four hits and striking out seven, to get the win. Travis d’Arnaud went 2 for 3 with two home runs, three runs, and three RBIs in the win. Harris II added a home run, two runs, and two RBIs. Jerar Encarnacion was 1 for 3 with a solo home run for the Marlins.

ON THE MOUND

Edward Cabrera (4-2, 2.45 ERA) is slated to start for Miami. The RHP allowed six runs over 5.2 innings in his last start, an 8-1 road defeat against the Dodgers on Sunday. He was charged with the loss, giving up five hits while striking out five and walking three. Cabrera is making his first appearance against the Braves this season. Cabrera made one start against the Braves in 2021, a 5-3 road loss on September 12. He surrendered two runs on three hits over 3.2 innings, striking out four and walking three. For Atlanta, righty Jake Odorizzi (5-5, 3.90 ERA) gets the ball. He has made one prior start against the Marlins this season, giving up two runs over four innings in a 4-3 road win on August 12. He gave up eight hits and walked one, while striking out two in the no-decision. In his last start on Sunday, Odorizzi took a no-decision on the road against the Cardinals. He threw 5.2 innings and gave up two runs on four hits, striking out four and walking one in the 6-3 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Miami has averaged only 1.4 runs a game, down from their season average of 3.6, while performing worse across the board (.170/.235/.273). Against right-handed pitchers like Odorizzi this season, the Fish have a .680 OPS. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is the team’s biggest slugger against right-handers with a .579 slugging percentage in 271 at-bats. Atlanta is averaging only 3.8 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.9 for the season, with their on-base percentage slipping to .289 from .317. The Braves have a .745 OPS against right-handers in 2022, fifth highest in the league. With a .507 SLG over 393 at-bats, Matt Olson has been their best power hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Miami is 29-38 in away games in 2022, scoring 3.7 runs per game while allowing 4.2 runs. Atlanta has won three in a row at home. The Braves are 45-25 at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game while surrendering 3.7. Atlanta is 6-4 in the last 10 games at Truist Park between the NL East rivals with an average scoreline of 5.0-3.7.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 29 games behind the division-leading Mets. The Braves are second in the NL East, three games behind the Mets. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting first.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Atlanta Braves (-185)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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