Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets 7/4/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets 7/4/23
Tue 4th July 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (50-35), one of the most productive offenses in MLB, are set to host the New York Mets (38-46) at Chase Field on Tuesday for the first of a three-game series.

The Mets are playing their first of six games on the road after closing out a seven-game homestand (3-4). They won two out of three in their last series against the Giants, taking the finale 8-4 on Sunday at Citi Field.

Tommy Pham was 3 for 4 with two doubles, two runs, and one RBI. Pete Alonso added a home run and a double. He scored two runs and had three RBIs.

The Diamondbacks are playing the first of six games at home. They won two of three against the Angels in their last series, dropping the finale 5-2 on Sunday at Angel Stadium of Anaheim.

Carson Kelly went 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs. The teams are meeting for the first time this season. Last season, the Mets won four of the six games between the teams, including two out of three in their most recent meeting at Chase Field in April.


Kodai Senga (6-5, 3.53 ERA) is set for the start for New York. The righty allowed two runs over five innings in his last start, a 5-2 home defeat against the Brewers on Wednesday. He yielded five hits while striking out eight and walking two in the no-decision.

RHP Zach Davies (1-4, 6.54 ERA) gets the ball for Arizona. Davies made one start against the Mets in 2022, throwing 4.1 innings in a 10-3 road defeat on April 15.

He gave up seven hits and walked one while striking out two in the loss. In his last start on Wednesday, Davies took a no-decision at home against the Rays. He threw seven scoreless innings and gave up two hits, striking out three and walking two in the 3-2 loss.


The New York offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game for the season, with a slash line of .240/.317/.402. Alonso leads the team in OPS at .835. The first baseman is slashing .221/.316/.520 with 25 home runs, 58 RBIs, and 48 runs over 76 games.

Against righties like Davies this season, the Mets have a .719 OPS. Brandon Nimmo is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .836 OPS in 218 at-bats.

Arizona is slashing .261/.329/.433 for the season and averaging 5.1 runs per game, the fifth best in the league. Four Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .800 or better, led by Corbin Carroll (.923).

The center fielder has 17 home runs, 44 RBIs, and 60 runs scored with a slash line of .289/.365/.557. Arizona is averaging only 2.8 runs per game in the last five with their slash line falling across the board (.208/.285/.321).

The D-backs have a .778 OPS against right-handers in 2023, the fourth highest in the league. With a .985 OPS over 214 at-bats, Carroll also has been their best hitter against right-handers.


New York is 18-27 in away games in 2023, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 5.1 runs. Arizona has gone 24-20 at Chase Field this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game while surrendering 4.6. In the last 10 games between the teams at Chase Field, New York is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 4.8-4.6.


The Mets are fourth in the NL East, 18 games behind the division-leading Braves. The Diamondbacks lead the NL West by three games over the Dodgers.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Arizona Diamondbacks (-105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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