Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers 9/3/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers 9/3/22
Sat 3rd September 2022

The Arizona Diamondbacks (63-68) host the Milwaukee Brewers (69-62) at Chase Field on Saturday. The Diamondbacks lead the series 2-0 after winning 2-1 on Friday. Kyle Nelson got the win with 0.1 scoreless innings of relief, and Ian Kennedy picked up his 10th save with a scoreless ninth. Emmanuel Rivera’s on-base streak is up to 10 games as he went 3 for 3 with a double, one run, and one RBI in the win. Willy Adames was 2 for 5 with one run for the Brewers.

ON THE MOUND

Corbin Burnes (9-6, 2.84 ERA) is set to start for Milwaukee. The righty leads the NL in strikeouts (195). Burnes allowed five runs over six innings in his last start, a 7-5 home win over the Pirates on Monday. He gave up eight hits while striking out five and walking one in the no-decision. Burnes is making his first appearance against the Diamondbacks this season. Burnes made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2021, a 2-0 home victory on June 6. He allowed four hits over seven scoreless innings, striking out 13.Southpaw Madison Bumgarner (6-13, 4.53 ERA) takes the mound for Arizona. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Brewers. In his last start on Monday, Bumgarner took a no-decision at home against the Phillies. He threw 3.2 innings and gave up seven runs on 11 hits, striking out two, in the 13-7 win.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Milwaukee has averaged only 3.2 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.5, thanks in part to diminished slugging (.315 vs .410). Against lefties like Bumgarner this season, the Brew Crew have a .662 OPS. Hunter Renfroe is the team’s most potent producer against left-handers with ann .839 OPS in 92 at-bats. Arizona is averaging 6.8 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.4 for the season, with a better slash line (.302/.348/.467). The D-backs have a .702 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .792 OPS over 358 at-bats, Christian Walker has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Milwaukee is on a four-game losing streak on the road, bringing their record to 34-36 in 2022. The Brew Crew have scored 4.4 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.5 runs. Arizona has gone 36-33 at their home ballpark this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.4. Milwaukee is 6-4 in the last 10 games at Chase Field between the teams with an average scoreline of 4.5-3.4.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Brewers are second in the NL Central, seven games behind the division-leading Cardinals. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, three games out of third. The Diamondbacks are third in the NL West, 27 games behind the Dodgers. They are fifth in the Wild Card race, nine games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Milwaukee Brewers (-190)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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