Free College Football Picks Today: Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons 10/8/22

Free College Football Picks Today: Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons 10/8/22
Sat 8th October 2022

The United States Air Force Academy Falcons (4-1, 1-1 MWC) head to take on the Utah State University Aggies (1-4, 0-1 MWC) at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium on Saturday for a matchup that pits the Mountain West Conference’s most potent rushing offense against one of its best ground defenses. The Falcons are 10-point favorites, and the total is 54.5. Air Force is coming off a narrow 13-10 win over Navy at Falcon Stadium last Saturday. Haaziq Daniels threw for 156 yards and a touchdown. Brad Roberts ran 23 times for 108 yards. David Cormier caught three passes for 120 yards and a touchdown. Utah State dropped a fourth straight game last Thursday, falling 38-26 to No. 19 BYU at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Cooper Legas was 19 of 31 for 188 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Calvin Tyler Jr. carried 18 times for 104 yards. Brian Cobbs scored twice. He hauled in 10 receptions for 96 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Aggies won the only meeting between the teams last season, a 49-45 victory in September. Logan Bonner threw two touchdowns for Utah State, as Calvin Tyler Jr. added two TDs. Emmanuel Michel had two touchdowns for Air Force.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Falcons are averaging 32.8 points per game for the season, 56th in FBS, and they are facing an Aggies defense that has surrendered 36.4 PPG (120th). Meanwhile, Utah State has scored 17.6 points a game this season, 120th in the nation, and Air Force is allowing 14.8 PPG (14th). The Falcons rank as the country’s top team in rushing yards per game (369.8, 1st), while they are 129th in passing yards (90.8). The Aggies are 61st in passing yards allowed per game (219.8) and 108th against the run (188.4). Utah State is 104th in the nation in passing yards per game (201.6) and 73rd in rushing (153.2). Air Force’s defense will prove challenging through the air, as the Falcons are 6th in the nation in passing yards allowed per game (151.6). Against the run, the Falcons are 52nd (127.2).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through five games, Haaziq Daniels has thrown for four touchdowns and 74.8 yards per game to lead Air Force in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had two TDs and 101 yards passing. Brad Roberts leads the team in rushing with an average of 114.6 yards a game over five games. He has seven touchdowns on the ground and one through the air. David Cormier is the Falcons’ leading receiver with 69.7 yards a game and three TDs. Logan Bonner has six passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 188.2 yards per game through four games to lead Utah State. In three home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs (8 INT) and an average of 238.0 yards. Calvin Tyler Jr. has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 79.2 yards a game through five games. Brian Cobbs has been a key target in the Aggies’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 67.4 yard per game average through five appearances.

SportsTips’ College Football Pick:

Air Force (-400)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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