Free College Football Picks Today: San Diego State Aztecs vs Air Force Falcons 11/26/22

The United States Air Force Academy Falcons (8-3, 4-3 MWC) and San Diego State University Aztecs (7-4, 5-2 MWC) face off Saturday at Snapdragon Stadium for their regular season finales. The Falcons are two-point favorites, and the total is 43.5.

Air Force is coming off a 24-12 win over Colorado State at Falcon Stadium last Saturday, their third straight victory. Brad Roberts ran 37 times for 184 yards and a touchdown.

San Diego State won for the third straight game last Friday, beating New Mexico 34-10 at University Stadium. Jalen Mayden was 15 of 25 for 282 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception.

Kenan Christon carried 10 times for 102 yards and a touchdown. Mekhi Shaw added two touchdowns of his own. He hauled in six receptions for 120 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Aztecs won the only game between the teams last season, a 20-14 victory in October, their third straight win against Air Force. Chance Bell had a rushing touchdown for San Diego State.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Falcons are averaging 29.0 points per game for the season, 63rd in FBS, and they are facing an Aztecs defense that has surrendered 20.8 PPG (31st). Meanwhile, San Diego State has scored 23.0 points a game this season, 101st in the country, and Air Force is allowing 14.2 PPG (6th).

The Falcons rank as the nation’s top team in rushing yards per game (336.4, 1st), while they are 131st in passing yards (72.6). The Aztecs are 70th in passing yards allowed per game (224.1) and 24th against the run (115.9).

San Diego State has been one of the country’s least productive passing teams, averaging 169.4 passing yards per game (120th), while ranking 55th in rushing yards (164.6). Air Force’s defense has been stout through the air, as the Falcons are 3rd in the country in passing yards allowed per game (153.8). Against the run, the Falcons are 16th (108.9).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through 11 games, Haaziq Daniels has thrown for six touchdowns (2 INT) and 65.4 yards per game to lead Air Force in passing. In four away games this season, he has three TDs (2 INT) and an average of 77.0 yards passing.

Brad Roberts leads the team in rushing with an average of 129.5 yards a game over 11 games. He has 14 touchdowns on the ground and two through the air. David Cormier is the Falcons’ leading receiver with 52.9 yards a game and four TDs.

Jalen Mayden has 10 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 191.6 yards per game through eight games to lead San Diego State. In five home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs (2 INT) and an average of 161.2 yards.

Jordan Byrd has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 34.2 yards a game through 11 games. He has four total touchdowns, three rushing and one receiving.

Tyrell Shavers has been the primary target in the Aztecs’ passing game. He has three touchdowns and a 49.1 yard per game average through 11 appearances.