Free College Football Picks Today: Nevada Reno Wolf Pack vs Boise State Broncos 11/12/22

Free College Football Picks Today: Nevada Reno Wolf Pack vs Boise State Broncos 11/12/22
Sat 12th November 2022

The University of Nevada Wolf Pack (2-7, 0-5 MWC) play host to the Boise State University Broncos (6-3, 5-0 MWC) at Clarence Mackay Stadium on Saturday for a matchup that pits one of the Mountain West Conference’s best rush defenses against one of its strongest ground offenses.

The Broncos are 21-point favorites, and the total is 47. Boise State is coming off a narrow 31-28 loss to BYU at Albertsons Stadium last Saturday.

Taylen Green was 17 of 23 for 220 yards and two touchdowns. George Holani ran 20 times for 73 yards and two touchdowns. Latrell Caples caught five passes for 81 yards and a touchdown.

Nevada dropped a seventh straight game on October 29, falling 35-28 to San Jose State at CEFCU Stadium. Shane Illingworth threw for 223 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Toa Taua carried 23 times for 75 yards and three touchdowns. B.J. Casteel added a touchdown of his own. He hauled in seven receptions for 149 yards.


The Wolf Pack won the only meeting between the teams last season, a 41-31 victory in October. Toa Taua had two touchdowns for Nevada. Hank Bachmeier tossed four touchdowns for Boise State, as Stefan Cobbs found the end zone twice.


The Broncos are averaging 28.8 points per game for the season, 71st in FBS, and they are facing a Wolf Pack defense that has surrendered 29.1 PPG (90th). Meanwhile, Nevada has scored 20.8 points a game this season, 110th in the country, and Boise State is allowing 18.9 PPG (17th).

The Broncos rank as one of the nation’s worst teams in passing yards per game (185.0, 114th), while they are 51st in rushing yards (171.2). The Wolf Pack are 44th in passing yards allowed per game (213.2) and 95th against the run (167.2).

Nevada has been one of the nation’s least productive teams in both passing and rushing yards per game, averaging 175.9 (119th) and 108.2 (113th) yards per game, respectively. Boise State’s defense is likely to prove challenging on both fronts, as the Broncos are 3rd in the country in passing yards allowed per game (160.7) and 12th against the run (104.6).


Through six games, Taylen Green has thrown for six touchdowns (4 INT) and 180.3 yards per game to lead Boise State in passing. In two away games this season, he has zero TDs (2 INT) and an average of 191.0 yards passing.

George Holani leads the team in rushing with an average of 91.3 yards a game over eight games. He has eight touchdowns on the ground and four through the air. Latrell Caples is the Broncos’ leading receiver with 34.3 yards a game and three TDs.

Nate Cox has two passing touchdowns (1 INT) with 118.1 yards per game through eight games to lead Nevada. In four home games this season, he has thrown for two TDs (1 INT) and an average of 150.0 yards.

Toa Taua has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 63.4 yards a game through nine games. He has 11 total touchdowns, 10 rushing and one receiving. B.J. Casteel has been the primary target in the Wolf Pack’s aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 44.1 yard per game average through nine appearances.


Nevada is looking to avoid a fourth consecutive home defeat this season.

SportsTips’ College Football Pick:

Over 46.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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