Free College Football Picks Today: Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs 9/30/22

Free College Football Picks Today: Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs 9/30/22
Fri 30th September 2022

The San Diego State University Aztecs (2-2, 0-1 Away), one of the Mountain West Conference’s most potent rushing offenses, kick off their Mountain West Conference schedule against the Boise State University Broncos (2-2, 1-0 MWC), one of the conference’s softest ground defenses, at Albertsons Stadium on Friday. The Broncos are six-point favorites, and the total is 39. San Diego State is coming off a close 17-14 win over Toledo at Snapdragon Stadium on Saturday. Braxton Burmeister threw for 65 yards and an interception. Jordan Byrd ran 16 times for 115 yards and two touchdowns. Boise State lost 27-10 to UTEP at Sun Bowl last Friday. Hank Bachmeier was 13 of 34 for 93 yards and a touchdown. George Holani carried 16 times for 75 yards. Latrell Caples had four receptions for 32 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Aztecs won the only game between the teams last season, a 27-16 victory in November. Jordon Brookshire threw one touchdown and ran for another for San Diego State, as Jesse Matthews scored once. Bachmeier tossed two touchdowns for Boise State.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Aztecs are averaging 20.5 points per game so far this season, 111th in FBS, and they are facing a Broncos defense that has surrendered 20.5 PPG (42nd). Meanwhile, Boise State has scored 22.0 points a game this season, 107th in the country, and San Diego State is allowing 23.5 PPG (63rd).The Aztecs rank as one of the nation’s top teams in rushing yards per game (220.0, 18th), while they are 130th in passing yards (73.8). The Broncos are 13th in passing yards allowed per game (159.8) and 32nd against the run (107.0).Boise State has been one of the country’s least productive passing teams, averaging 163.0 passing yards per game (114th), while ranking 106th in rushing yards (120.3). The Aztecs are allowing 258.8 passing yards (96th) and 134.5 rushing yards per game (62nd).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through four games, Burmeister has thrown for two touchdowns (2 INT) and 57.5 yards per game to lead San Diego State in passing. In one previous away game this season, he had zero TDs and 6 yards passing. Byrd leads the team in rushing with an average of 56.0 yards a game over four games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Matthews is the Aztecs’ leading receiver with 17.0 yards a game. Bachmeier has six passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 124.2 yards per game through four games to lead Boise State. In one previous home game this season, he threw for two TDs and 204 yards. Holani has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 65.3 yards a game through four games. He has three total touchdowns, one rushing and two receiving. Caples has been the primary target in the Broncos’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 31.2 yard per game average through four appearances.

SportsTips’ College Football Pick:

Boise State (-250)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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