Free College Football Picks Today: Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen 10/1/22

Free College Football Picks Today: Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen 10/1/22
Sat 1st October 2022

A matchup of strength against strength is set for Falcon Stadium on Saturday, as the United States Air Force Academy Falcons (3-1, 3-0 Home) and their powerful rushing offense play host to the United States Naval Academy Midshipmen (1-2, 1-0 Away) and their superb ground defense. The Falcons are 14-point favorites, and the total is 37.5.Navy is coming off a tight 23-20 win over East Carolina at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium last Saturday. Tai Lavatai was 7 of 10 for 152 yards and a touchdown. Maquel Haywood ran 13 times for 67 yards. Vincent Terrell II caught three passes for 114 yards and a touchdown. Air Force beat Nevada 48-20 at Falcon Stadium last Friday. Brad Roberts carried 20 times for 123 yards and three touchdowns. David Cormier added a touchdown of his own. He caught one reception for 80 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Falcons won the only game between the teams last season, a 23-3 victory in September. Roberts had two touchdowns for Air Force.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Midshipmen are averaging 14.3 points per game so far this season, 126th in FBS, and they are facing a Falcons defense that has surrendered 16.0 PPG (21st). Meanwhile, Air Force has scored 37.8 points a game this season, 33rd in the nation, and Navy is allowing 23.7 PPG (65th). The Midshipmen rank as one of the country’s worst teams in passing yards per game (128.7, 125th), while they are 31st in rushing yards (196.7). They will face a particularly tough test through the air, as the Falcons are 12th in the nation in passing yards allowed per game (157.3). Against the run, Air Force is 56th (130.5).Air Force has been the nation’s top rushing team, averaging 412.3 yards per game, while ranking 129th in passing yards (74.5). Navy’s defense has been equally impressive on the ground, as the Midshipmen are 5th in the nation in rushing yards allowed per game (69.0). Against the pass, the Midshipmen are 120th (290.3).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through three games, Lavatai has thrown for two touchdowns and 128.7 yards per game to lead Navy in passing. Haywood leads the team in rushing with an average of 49.7 yards a game over three games. Terrell II is the Midshipmen’s leading receiver with 49.0 yards a game and one TD. Haaziq Daniels has three passing touchdowns with 54.5 yards per game through four games to lead Air Force. In three home games this season, he has thrown for one TD and an average of 39.0 yards. Roberts has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 116.3 yards a game through four games. He has seven touchdowns. Cormier has been the primary target in the Falcons’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 44.5 yard per game average through two appearances.

SportsTips’ College Football Pick:

Air Force (-600)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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