Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals 11/27/22

The Cincinnati Bengals (6-4, 3-3 Away) and their outstanding passing offense are on the road to take on the Tennessee Titans (7-3, 3-1 Home), one of the league’s weakest aerial defenses, at Nissan Stadium on Sunday. The Bengals are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 43.5.

Cincinnati is coming off a 37-30 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium last Sunday. Joe Burrow threw for 355 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. Samaje Perine ran 11 times for 30 yards. He added four receptions for 52 yards and three touchdowns.

Tee Higgins was targeted 13 times, catching nine passes for 148 yards. Tennessee beat the Green Bay Packers 27-17 at Lambeau Field last Thursday. Ryan Tannehill was 22 of 27 for 337 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception.

Derrick Henry carried 28 times for 87 yards and a touchdown and added two catches for 45 yards. Treylon Burks was targeted eight times, hauling in seven receptions for 111 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams last met in last season’s AFC Divisional Playoffs when the Bengals secured their place in the Conference Championship with a 19-16 victory.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Bengals are averaging 26.5 points per game for the season, third in the NFL, and they are facing a Titans defense that has surrendered 18.5 PPG (8th). Meanwhile, Tennessee has scored 19.3 points a game this season, 24th in the league, and Cincinnati is allowing 21.5 PPG (15th).

The Bengals rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (293.5, 3rd), while they are 28th in rushing yards (95.1). They will look to take advantage through the air, as the Titans are worst in the league in passing yards allowed per game (288.1). Against the run, Tennessee is second (82.2).

Tennessee has been one of the league’s least productive passing teams, averaging 183.0 passing yards per game (30th), while ranking 11th in rushing yards (128.9). The Bengals are allowing 220.0 passing yards (10th) and 117.1 rushing yards per game (17th).Cincinnati has found the end zone on an NFL-best 75% of trips to the red zone this season, averaging 3.2 trips a game (19th).

Tennessee ranks as one of the most productive red zone offenses in the league despite being one of the lowest volume red zone teams. The Titans advance inside the 20-yard-line only 2.7 times per game (31st), yet they score a touchdown on 74% of those possessions (2nd).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through 10 games, Joe Burrow has thrown for 22 touchdowns (8 INT) and 289.0 yards per game to lead Cincinnati in passing. In six away games this season, he has 14 TDs (4 INT) and an average of 263.0 yards passing. Joe Mixon leads the team in rushing with an average of 60.5 yards a game over 10 games.

He’s also contributed to the aerial attack with 31.4 receiving yards a game. He has six touchdowns on the ground. Tee Higgins is the Bengals’ leading receiver with 79.1 yards a game and three TDs.

He is averaging 5.6 receptions on 7.9 targets per game.Ryan Tannehill has 10 passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 210.6 yards per game through eight games to lead Tennessee.

In four home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (1 INT) and an average of 229.2 yards. Derrick Henry has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 101.0 yards a game through 10 games. He has 10 touchdowns.

Robert Woods has been a key target in the Titans’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 33.5 yard per game average through 10 appearances.