We are looking at an absolutely stacked card for UFC 278, on August 20th. The main event is a huge title fight and the co-main event is also a Middleweight fight.
Read on below to find out UFC Best Bets for this weekend’s UFC 278!
Kamaru Usman © vs Leon Edwards – Welterweight Title
Kamaru Usman is one of the most dominant fighters in the history of mixed martial arts and the UFC. He comes into this fight with 21 career professional fights under his belt and he has won 20 of those fights. The 35-year-old is known as the “Nigerian Nightmare” and as a former winner of the ultimate fighter. He is a former NCAA division two wrestler and that shows in his fights. Nine of his victories have come by knockout, one has come by submission and 10 of them have come via decision. His only loss in his professional mixed martial arts career came by submission back on May 24, 2013. He is undefeated in the UFC and has won his last 19 fights in a row. If he wins this fight it likely means that he will go eat the whole decade without being defeated inside of the cage. That is an impressive feat no matter how many fights you fight in that time span or the quality of opponents you fight it is still something that is incredible and hard to match.
Leon Edwards comes into this fight as a huge underdog with a huge opportunity to get a win over the champion and claim the belt for himself. He comes into this fight with 23 career professional fights in 19 of those have been victories while he has three losses and one no contest. Much like Guzman he is trying to go the distance as 10 of his 19 victories have come by decision, while 6 have come by knockout and three have come by submission. While he is certainly a decorated fighter and very solid in the octagon I can’t see him winning this fight as I look for Usman to retain the title.
Tony’s UFC Pick:
Usman (-350), By KO (+175)
Paulo Costa vs Luke Rockhold – Middleweight
Paulo Costa has been on a roll as of late as he comes into this fight with 13 victories and only two losses in his mixed martial arts career. The 31-year-old Brazilian has had the majority of his wins come by knockout and he’s had one apiece by submission and decision as well. While both of his losses have come by stoppage with one being a knockout and one being a submission. He comes into this fight after losing both of his last two fights which actually accounted for both of his losses in his mixed martial arts career as he will be looking to bounce back against Luke Rockhold.
Luke Rockhold comes into this fight with 16 victories in his professional career. This fight was actually supposed to take place at the last UFC event but it was postponed and now it will be taking place here in August. He is a balanced fighter as six of his 16 wins have come by knockout and eight of them have come by submission. However, much like Costa he is currently on a two fight losing streak and has also lost three out of his last four fights. All three of those losses have come by knockout on punches. I expect the same to happen in this one as I look for Costa to knock him out.
Tony’s UFC Pick:
Costa (-350), By KO (-160)
Jose Aldo vs Merab Dvalishvili – Bantamweight
In my opinion José Aldo is one of the greatest mixed martial arts fighters in the history of the sport. He has racked up an incredible 31 victories in his professional career and only seven losses in a career that has spanned over a decade. He has also fought in three different divisions and is currently fighting in bantamweight since 2019. He is not a guy that’s going to make you tap out but he’s gonna knock you out at 17 of us 31 victories have come by knockout while 13 of them have come by decision.
Merab Dvalishvili has a career record of 14 and four and 18 professional mixed martial arts fights. Three of us victories have come by knock out while ten of them have come by decision. He has not lost in over four years and since losing the first two fights of his UFC career he has bounced back to win his last seven as he comes into this fight with a ton of momentum. However, it is fair to say that he is facing his toughest test yet inside of an octagon when he squares off with Jose Aldo. That is why I think he will suffer his first loss since May 2018 as I look for Jose Aldo to win this fight by decision.
Tony’s UFC Pick:
Aldo (+115), By DEC (+200)
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*Odds and spreads correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.