Free NHL Picks Today: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators 10/15/22

The Toronto Maple Leafs (1-1-0) host the Ottawa Senators (0-1-0) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The Maple Leafs are -210 favorites, and the total is 6.5. Ottawa is coming off a 4-1 loss against the Sabres on Thursday. The Senators committed four penalties in the game, though they held Buffalo without a power play goal. Brady Tkachuk scored the lone goal for the Senators. Anton Forsberg had a terrific performance with 32 saves (.941%) in the loss. Toronto beat the Capitals 3-2 on Thursday. Auston Matthews, John Tavares, and Calle Jarnkrok scored one apiece for the Maple Leafs. Morgan Rielly had two assists to lead the team in scoring. Ilya Samsonov saved 24 of 26 shots.

HEAD TO HEAD

The Maple Leafs won three of the four games between the teams last season, including a 5-4 (OT) victory in their final meeting in April, their third straight win against Ottawa. Mark Giordano led Toronto with three points (1G 2A). Erik Kallgren got the win despite saving only 25 of 29 shots (.862%).

FACING OFF

Ottawa averaged 2.73 goals per game last season, 26th in the NHL, and they are taking on a Maple Leafs team that allowed 3.07 goals a game (18th). Meanwhile, Toronto found the net 3.80 times a game on average, second in the league, and the Senators allowed opponents to score 3.22 goals per game (22nd).The Senators converted 19.34% of their power play opportunities (20th), while Toronto’s 82.05% penalty kill percentage ranked eighth. The Maple Leafs scored on 27.27% of their power play chances, most in the NHL. Ottawa’s PK% of 80.32 ranked No. 13.

TOP PERFORMERS:

Tavares (1G 2A) and Rielly (0G 3A) lead the Maple Leafs in scoring on the season with three points apiece. Samsonov (1-0-0) has the best goals against average for Toronto at 2.00. He has a save percentage of .923%.

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.