Free NHL Picks Today: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers 3/11/23

Free NHL Picks Today: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers 3/11/23
Sat 11th March 2023

The Edmonton Oilers (36-22-8) travel to face the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-17-8) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. Edmonton is playing their last of four games on the road coming off a 3-2 win over the Bruins on Thursday. The Oilers committed only two penalties in the game, holding Boston without a power play goal.

Darnell Nurse, Ryan McLeod, and Evan Bouchard scored one apiece for the Oilers. Stuart Skinner had a great performance with 26 saves (.928%) in the win.

Toronto is back home for a four-game homestand after a 4-3 win over the Devils on Tuesday. Four players found the net for the Maple Leafs. Mitchell Marner scored and provided an assist to share the scoring lead with William Nylander, who had two assists. Ilya Samsonov saved 30 of 33 shots.


The Oilers won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 5-2 victory on March 1. Connor McDavid led Edmonton with three points (2G 1A). Marner led Toronto with two points (1G 1A). Skinner got the win, saving 26 of 28 shots (.928%).


Edmonton is averaging 3.85 goals per game for the season, best in the NHL, and they are taking on a Maple Leafs team that is allowing 2.66 goals a game (6th).

Meanwhile, Toronto has found the net 3.38 times a game on average, ninth in the league, and the Oilers are allowing opponents to score 3.27 goals per game (21st).

The Oilers’ 32.02% power play percentage is the best in the league, while Toronto’s 25.39% conversion rate ranks third. In terms of defending power plays, Toronto has the league’s 12th-ranked PK% at 81.68%, while Edmonton is 24th at 75.65%.


With 124 points this season, most in the NHL, McDavid is the top skater for the Oilers. He leads the league in both goals (54) and assists (70). In the net, Skinner (18-13-4) is Edmonton’s top goaltender by goals against average.

He has a 2.86 GAA and a .913% save percentage. Marner and Nylander lead the Maple Leafs in scoring with 79 and 76 points, respectively. Marner ranks 10th in the league in points scored on the season.

He has 23 goals and 56 assists (4th) in 64 games, while Nylander has 33 goals and 43 assists. Samsonov (23-8-2) has the best goals against average for Toronto at 2.41. He has a save percentage of .915%.


Edmonton is 20-10-3 away from Rogers Place this season. Toronto has won three straight at Scotiabank Arena this season.

SportsTips’ NHL Pick:

Toronto Maple Leafs (-130)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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