Free NHL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Arizona Coyotes 12/31/22

Free NHL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Arizona Coyotes 12/31/22
Sat 31st December 2022

The Arizona Coyotes (13-16-5) will be out to prolong their winning run when they travel to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (22-11-1) at Amalie Arena on Saturday. Arizona is playing their first of four games on the road coming off a high-scoring 6-3 win over the Maple Leafs on Thursday, their third consecutive win.

The Coyotes committed four penalties in the game, conceding two power play goals. Jack McBain led the Coyotes with two goals in regulation. Barrett Hayton had a goal and two assists to lead the team in scoring. Karel Vejmelka saved 29 of 32 shots in the win.

Tampa Bay beat the Rangers 2-1 (SO) on Thursday. Brayden Point was the only player to score in regulation for the Lightning. Andrei Vasilevskiy was impressive in the win, making 45 saves (.978%).


The Lightning won both games between the teams last season, including a 4-3 victory in their final meeting in February. Steven Stamkos led Tampa Bay with two goals. Clayton Keller led Arizona with two points (1G 1A). Brian Elliott got the win despite saving only 16 of 19 shots (.842%).


Arizona is averaging 2.88 goals per game for the season, 26th in the NHL, and they are taking on a Lightning team that is allowing 2.88 goals a game (13th). Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has found the net 3.53 times a game on average, fifth in the league, and the Coyotes are allowing opponents to score 3.56 goals per game (25th).

Arizona averages fewer shots a game (24.6) than any other team in the league, though the team’s 11.8% shooting percentage ranks second. Tampa Bay’s average of 31.9 attempts ranks 16th. Look for several power play opportunities for the Lightning, as the Coyotes are averaging 4.94 penalties per game, third-most in the NHL.

The visitors’ 11.35 penalty minutes a game ranks fifth-highest. The home team has been penalized 4.41 times a game (8th) for an average of 10.26 minutes (10th).

The Lightning’s 26.67% power play percentage ranks seventh in the league, while the Coyotes are 22nd with a conversion rate of 20.51%. When it comes to penalty killing, Tampa Bay has the league’s sixth-ranked PK% at 82.14%, while Arizona is 24th at 74.07%.


With 33 points this season, Keller is the top skater for the Coyotes. He has 13 goals and 20 assists in 34 games. In the net, Vejmelka (10-9-4) is Arizona’s top goaltender. He has a 3.09 GAA and a .910% save percentage. Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 51 points (5th in the league).

He has a league-best 38 assists and 13 goals () in 34 games. Vasilevskiy (14-9-1) is the top goalie for Tampa Bay with a goals against average of 2.47. He has a save percentage of .918%.


Arizona is looking to reverse an eight-game losing streak on the road this season. Tampa Bay is 14-4-1 at home this season.

SportsTips’ NHL Pick:

TB Lightning -1.5 (-135)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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