Free NHL Picks Today: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs 4/1/23

Free NHL Picks Today: Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs 4/1/23
Sat 1st April 2023

The Toronto Maple Leafs (44-20-10) head to face the Ottawa Senators (37-33-5) at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday. Toronto is coming off a 3-2 overtime loss against the Panthers on Wednesday.

The Maple Leafs committed five penalties in the game, conceding one power play goal. Auston Matthews and Zach Aston-Reese each scored once for the Maple Leafs.

Ilya Samsonov saved only 26 of 29 shots against (.896%) in the loss. Ottawa beat the Flyers 5-4 (OT) on Thursday. Five players found the net for the Senators. Tim Stuetzle scored and provided an assist to lead the team in scoring. Cam Talbot surrendered four goals on 11 shots (.636%).

HEAD TO HEAD

The Maple Leafs have won two of the three games between the teams this season, including a 5-4 (SO) victory in their most recent meeting in March. Four players had two points for Toronto. Brady Tkachuk (2G 0A), Stuetzle (1G 1A), and Travis Hamonic (0G 2A) each had two points to lead Ottawa. Matt Murray got the win, saving 48 of 52 shots (.923%).

FACING OFF

Toronto is averaging 3.41 goals per game for the season, eighth in the NHL, and they are taking on a Senators team that is allowing 3.24 goals a game (19th).

Meanwhile, Ottawa has found the net 3.19 times a game on average, 18th in the league, and the Maple Leafs are allowing opponents to score 2.76 goals per game (9th).

Don’t be surprised to see multiple power play opportunities for the Maple Leafs, as the Senators have been penalized 4.64 times a game, most in the NHL, for an average of 11.80 minutes (first-highest). The visitors are averaging 3.64 penalties (17th) and 8.18 penalty minutes a game (22nd).

The Maple Leafs’ 25.23% power play percentage is the second-best in the league, while the Senators rank sixth with a conversion rate of 24.82%. In terms of defending power plays, Ottawa has the league’s ninth-ranked PK% at 82.09%, while Toronto is 13th at 80.72%.

TOP PERFORMERS:

With 95 points this season, ninth-most in the NHL, Mitchell Marner is the top skater for the Maple Leafs. He is among the league leaders with 67 assists (5th) and has added 28 goals of his own. In the net, Samsonov (24-9-4) is Toronto’s top goaltender by goals against average.

He has a 2.47 GAA and a .913% save percentage. Stuetzle and Tkachuk lead the Senators in scoring with 84 and 78 points, respectively.

Stuetzle has 37 goals and 47 assists, while Tkachuk has 34 goals and 44 assists in 75 games. Talbot (16-14-1) has the best goals against average for Ottawa at 2.88. He has a save percentage of .902%.

HOME AND AWAY

Toronto is 19-13-4 away from home this season. Ottawa is 22-13-3 at home this season.

SportsTips’ NHL Pick:

Toronto Maple Leafs (-155)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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