Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars 12/11/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars 12/11/22
Sun 11th December 2022

The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-8, 1-5 Away) are on the road to take on the Tennessee Titans (7-5, 3-2 Home) at Nissan Stadium on Sunday. The Titans are four-point favorites, and the total is 41. Jacksonville is coming off a crushing 40-14 loss at the hands of the Detroit Lions at Ford Field last Sunday.

Trevor Lawrence threw for 179 yards and a touchdown. Travis Etienne Jr. ran 13 times for 54 yards. Christian Kirk was targeted eight times, catching six passes for 104 yards. Tennessee lost 35-10 to the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field last Sunday.

Ryan Tannehill was 14 of 22 for 157 yards and a touchdown. He added 34 yards on the ground. Chig Okonkwo caught four receptions for 68 yards.


The Titans won both games between the teams last season, including a 20-0 win in their last meeting in December, their fifth straight win against Jacksonville. D’Onta Foreman had a rushing touchdown for Tennessee.


The Jaguars are averaging 21.5 points per game for the season, 17th in the NFL, and they are facing a Titans defense that has surrendered 20.0 PPG (11th). Meanwhile, Tennessee has scored 18.3 points a game this season, 26th in the league, and Jacksonville is allowing 22.7 PPG (16th).

The Jaguars rank 17th in the league in passing yards per game (236.7) and ninth in rushing (127.4). They will be facing a tough test on the ground, as the Titans are third in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (83.1).

Against the pass, Tennessee is 31st (295.2).Tennessee has been one of the league’s least successful passing teams, averaging 189.8 passing yards per game (29th), while ranking 15th in rushing yards (119.9). The Jaguars are allowing 264.7 passing yards (27th) and 113.6 rushing yards per game (13th).

Tennessee ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, advancing inside the 20-yard-line just 2.7 times per game (31st) and scoring a touchdown on 63% of those possessions (6th).


Through 12 games, Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 17 touchdowns (6 INT) and 236.2 yards per game to lead Jacksonville in passing. In six away games this season, he has 10 TDs (2 INT) and an average of 219.0 yards passing.

Travis Etienne Jr. leads the team in rushing with an average of 65.2 yards a game over 12 games. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Christian Kirk is the Jaguars’ leading receiver with 69.1 yards a game and seven TDs. He is averaging 5.2 receptions on 8.2 targets per game.

Ryan Tannehill has 11 passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 211.7 yards per game through 10 games to lead Tennessee. In five home games this season, he has thrown for five TDs (1 INT) and an average of 241.6 yards.

Derrick Henry has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 89.8 yards a game through 12 games. He has 10 touchdowns.

Treylon Burks has been a key target in the Titans’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 44.9 yard per game average through eight appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Tennessee Titans (-190)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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