Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos 11/13/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos 11/13/22
Sun 13th November 2022

The Tennessee Titans (5-3, 2-1 Home) play host to the Denver Broncos (3-5, 1-3 Away) at Nissan Stadium on Sunday. The Titans are three-point favorites, and the total is 37.5. Denver is coming off a 21-17 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars at Wembley Stadium on October 30. Russell Wilson threw for 252 yards with a touchdown and an interception.

Latavius Murray ran 14 times for 46 yards and a touchdown. Greg Dulcich caught four passes for 87 yards. Tennessee lost 20-17 to the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium last Sunday. Malik Willis was 5 of 16 for 80 yards. Derrick Henry carried 17 times for 115 yards and two touchdowns. Chig Okonkwo caught one reception for 48 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2020, a 16-14 win for the Titans. Ryan Tannehill threw two touchdowns for Tennessee.


The Broncos are averaging 15.1 points per game for the season, 30th in the NFL, and they are facing a Titans defense that has surrendered 19.8 PPG (10th). Meanwhile, Tennessee has scored 18.6 points a game this season, 24th in the league, and Denver is allowing 16.5 PPG (2nd).

The Broncos rank 18th in the league in passing yards per game (239.9) and 20th in rushing (108.4). They will face a tough test on the ground, as the Titans are second in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (87.6).

Against the pass, Tennessee is 31st (296.0). Tennessee has been one of the league’s least productive passing teams, averaging 154.8 passing yards per game (31st), while ranking eighth in rushing yards (142.3). Denver’s defense will prove challenging through the air, as the Broncos are 2nd in the league in passing yards allowed per game (189.3).

Against the run, the Broncos are 21st (122.6). Denver is averaging 2.5 trips to the red zone a game this season (33rd in the NFL), finding the end zone a league-worst 35% of the time. Tennessee ranks as the biggest red zone threat in the league despite being one of the lowest volume red zone teams.

The Titans move inside the 20-yard-line only 2.4 times per game (33rd), yet they score a touchdown on 79% of those possessions (1st). Denver has been tough to beat when defending their own red zone, holding opponents to a conversion percentage of only 26%, best in the league.


Through seven games, Russell Wilson has thrown for six touchdowns (4 INT) and 242.0 yards per game to lead Denver in passing. In four away games this season, he has five TDs (1 INT) and an average of 254.2 yards passing.

Melvin Gordon III leads the team in rushing with an average of 32.9 yards a game over eight games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Courtland Sutton is the Broncos’ leading receiver with 58.4 yards a game and one TD.

He is averaging 4.4 receptions on 7.8 targets per game. Ryan Tannehill has six passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 182.8 yards per game through six games to lead Tennessee. In three home games this season, he has thrown for three TDs (1 INT) and an average of 220.7 yards.

Derrick Henry has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 108.8 yards a game through eight games. He has nine touchdowns. Robert Woods has been the primary target in the Titans’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 32.0 yard per game average through eight appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Over 39 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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