Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys 12/29/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys 12/29/22
Thu 29th December 2022

The Tennessee Titans (7-8, 3-4 Home) will be hoping to end their losing run when they host the Dallas Cowboys (11-4, 3-3 Away) at Nissan Stadium on Thursday. The Cowboys are 10-point favorites, and the total is 40.5.

Dallas is coming off a 40-34 win over the Philadelphia Eagles at AT&T Stadium on Saturday. Dak Prescott threw for 347 yards with three touchdowns and an interception.

Ezekiel Elliott ran 16 times for 55 yards and a touchdown. CeeDee Lamb was targeted 11 times, catching 10 passes for 120 yards and two touchdowns.

Tennessee dropped a fifth straight game on Saturday, falling 19-14 to the Houston Texans at Nissan Stadium. Malik Willis was 14 of 23 for 99 yards and two interceptions. Derrick Henry carried 23 times for 126 yards and a touchdown. Robert Woods had four receptions for 30 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2018, a 28-14 win for the Titans.


The Cowboys are averaging 28.9 points per game for the season, third in the NFL, and they are facing a Titans defense that has surrendered 20.8 PPG (11th). Meanwhile, Tennessee has scored 17.9 points a game this season, 27th in the league, and Dallas is allowing 20.2 PPG (6th).

The Cowboys rank 20th in the league in passing yards per game (233.4) and seventh in rushing (143.1). They can expect a tough test on the ground, as the Titans are second in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (80.1).

Against the pass, Tennessee is 31st (296.1).Tennessee has been one of the league’s least productive passing teams, averaging 187.7 passing yards per game (29th), while ranking 12th in rushing yards (125.8). The Cowboys are allowing 224.4 passing yards (12th) and 130.0 rushing yards per game (22nd).

Dallas has found the end zone on 71% of trips to the red zone this season, second most in the NFL, averaging 3.4 trips a game (14th). Tennessee ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the league despite averaging the fewest red zone attempts.

The Titans advance inside the 20-yard-line only 2.5 times per game (32nd), yet they score a touchdown on 68% of those possessions (3rd).


Through 10 games, Dak Prescott has thrown for 20 touchdowns (12 INT) and 245.0 yards per game to lead Dallas in passing. In three away games this season, he has eight TDs (4 INT) and an average of 265.7 yards passing. Tony Pollard leads the team in rushing with an average of 65.9 yards a game over 15 games.

He has nine touchdowns on the ground. CeeDee Lamb is the Cowboys’ leading receiver with 80.5 yards a game and eight TDs. He is averaging 6.1 receptions on 9.0 targets per game.

Ryan Tannehill has 13 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 211.3 yards per game through 12 games to lead Tennessee. In six home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (2 INT) and an average of 243.7 yards.

Derrick Henry has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 95.3 yards a game through 15 games. He has 13 touchdowns.

Robert Woods has been a key target in the Titans’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 29.9 yard per game average through 15 appearances.


Tennessee is looking to avoid a fourth consecutive home loss this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Dallas Cowboys -14 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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