Free NFL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals 12/18/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals 12/18/22
Sun 18th December 2022

Two of the league’s top passing offenses are set to square off at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7, 4-3 Home) welcome the Cincinnati Bengals (9-4, 4-3 Away). The Bengals are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is 44.

Cincinnati is coming off a 23-10 win over the Cleveland Browns at Paycor Stadium last Sunday, their fifth consecutive victory. Joe Burrow was 18 of 33 for 239 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Joe Mixon ran 14 times for 96 yards.

Ja’Marr Chase was targeted 15 times, catching 10 passes for 119 yards and a touchdown. Tampa Bay lost 35-7 to the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium last Sunday.

Tom Brady threw for 253 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. Rachaad White carried 13 times for 56 yards. Chris Godwin was targeted nine times, hauling in five receptions for 54 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2018, a 37-34 win for the Bengals.


The Bengals are averaging 25.8 points per game for the season, seventh in the NFL, and they are facing a Buccaneers defense that has surrendered 19.5 PPG (9th). Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has scored 17.2 points a game this season, 28th in the league, and Cincinnati is allowing 20.4 PPG (11th).

The Bengals rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (286.9, 3rd), while they are 24th in rushing yards (103.6). The Buccaneers are eighth in passing yards allowed per game (215.9) and 20th against the run (125.4).

Tampa Bay has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 275.8 passing yards per game (5th), while ranking 32nd in rushing yards (72.9).

The Bengals are allowing 230.0 passing yards (16th) and 111.0 rushing yards per game (11th). Cincinnati has found the end zone on 67% of red zone trips this season, fourth most in the NFL, averaging 3.5 trips a game (13th).

Tampa Bay ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.8 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on 51% of those possessions (21st).


Through 13 games, Joe Burrow has thrown for 27 touchdowns (9 INT) and 283.5 yards per game to lead Cincinnati in passing. In seven away games this season, he has 15 TDs (4 INT) and an average of 264.0 yards passing. Joe Mixon leads the team in rushing with an average of 63.7 yards a game over 11 games. He has six touchdowns on the ground.

Tee Higgins is the Bengals’ leading receiver with 78.3 yards a game and five TDs. He is averaging 5.5 receptions on 7.7 targets per game.Tom Brady has 17 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 275.8 yards per game through 13 games to lead Tampa Bay.

In seven home games this season, he has thrown for 11 TDs (2 INT) and an average of 307.3 yards. Leonard Fournette has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 43.7 yards a game through 12 games.

He also has been valuable as a receiver, accumulating 31.7 yards a game through the air. He has six total touchdowns, three rushing and three receiving. Mike Evans has been a key target in the Buccaneers’ passing game.

He has three touchdowns and a 67.1 yard per game average through 12 appearances. Mike Evans is averaging 8.2 targets per game (4.9 receptions).


Tampa Bay is pursuing a fourth consecutive home win this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Cincinnati Bengals (-190)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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