Free NFL Picks Today: San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams 10/3/22

Free NFL Picks Today: San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams 10/3/22
Mon 3rd October 2022

The Los Angeles Rams (2-1, 1-0 Away) are on the road to face the San Francisco 49ers (1-2, 1-0 Home) at Levi’s Stadium on Monday. The 49ers are 1.5-point favorites, and the total is 42.5. Los Angeles is coming off a 20-12 win over the Arizona Cardinals at State Farm Stadium last Sunday. Matthew Stafford was 18 of 25 for 249 yards. Cam Akers ran 12 times for 61 yards and a touchdown. Ben Skowronek caught four passes for 66 yards. San Francisco lost 11-10 to the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High last Sunday. Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 211 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Jeff Wilson Jr. carried 12 times for 75 yards and added three catches for 31 yards. Deebo Samuel was targeted eight times, hauling in five receptions for 73 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams last met in last season’s NFC Conference Championship when the Rams secured their place in the Super Bowl with a 20-17 victory. The 49ers won both regular season games between the teams last year, including a 27-24 overtime win in their last meeting in January.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Rams are averaging 20.3 points per game so far this season, 15th in the NFL, and they are facing a 49ers defense that has surrendered 12.3 PPG (3rd). Meanwhile, San Francisco has scored 15.7 points a game this season, 28th in the league, and Los Angeles is allowing 23.3 PPG (20th).The Rams rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (72.3, 30th), while they are 15th in passing yards (253.7). They will face a particularly tough test on the ground, as the 49ers are fourth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (78.7). Against the pass, San Francisco is first (167.3).San Francisco has been one of the league’s least productive passing teams, averaging 186.3 passing yards per game (30th), while ranking sixth in rushing yards (151.0). The Rams are allowing 269.0 passing yards (22nd) and 93.7 rushing yards per game (10th).Los Angeles is averaging 3.3 trips to the red zone a game this season, fourth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 60% of the time (14th). The Rams will be looking to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s weakest red zone defenses, as the 49ers have allowed opponents to score on 75% of red zone trips (29th). San Francisco ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line just 3.0 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on 44% of those possessions (27th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through three games, Stafford has thrown for four touchdowns (5 INT) and 253.7 yards per game to lead Los Angeles in passing. Darrell Henderson Jr. leads the team in rushing with an average of 37.0 yards a game over three games. He has one touchdown on the ground. Cooper Kupp is the Rams’ leading receiver with 93.3 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 9.3 receptions on 11.7 targets per game. Garoppolo has two passing touchdowns (1 INT) with 182.5 yards per game through two games to lead San Francisco. In one prior home game this season, he threw for one TD and 154 yards. Wilson Jr. has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 60.3 yards a game through three games. Brandon Aiyuk has been a key target in the 49ers’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 47.3 yard per game average through three appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Rams (+105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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