Free NFL Picks Today: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals 11/20/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals 11/20/22
Sun 20th November 2022

The Cincinnati Bengals (5-4, 2-3 Away) and their powerful passing offense are on the road to face the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6, 2-2 Home), one of the league’s softest aerial defenses, at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday.

The Bengals are four-point favorites, and the total is 41. Cincinnati is coming off a runaway 42-21 win over the Carolina Panthers at Paycor Stadium on November 6.

Joe Burrow threw for 206 yards and a touchdown. Joe Mixon ran 22 times for 153 yards and four touchdowns. He added four receptions for 58 yards and a touchdown. Tee Higgins was targeted eight times, catching seven passes for 60 yards.

Pittsburgh beat the New Orleans Saints 20-10 at Acrisure Stadium last Sunday. Kenny Pickett was 18 of 30 for 199 yards. Najee Harris carried 20 times for 99 yards. Diontae Johnson caught four receptions for 63 yards.


The Steelers won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 23-20 victory in September. Mitch Trubisky threw one touchdown for Pittsburgh. Joe Burrow tossed two touchdowns for Cincinnati.


The Bengals are averaging 25.3 points per game for the season, sixth in the NFL, and they are facing a Steelers defense that has surrendered 23.0 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has scored 15.6 points a game this season, 31st in the league, and Cincinnati is allowing 20.6 PPG (13th).The Bengals rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (286.7, 4th), while they are 27th in rushing yards (98.8).

Look for them to take advantage through the air, as the Steelers are 28th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (275.8). Against the run, Pittsburgh is sixth (108.0).

Pittsburgh is 24th in the league in passing yards per game (218.1) and 22nd in rushing (108.4), while the Bengals are allowing 215.0 passing yards (8th) and 118.8 rushing yards per game (17th).

Cincinnati has found the end zone on 72% of trips to the red zone this season, fourth most in the NFL, averaging 3.2 trips a game (21st). Pittsburgh ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.9 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on just 46% of those possessions (28th).


Through nine games, Joe Burrow has thrown for 18 touchdowns (6 INT) and 281.7 yards per game to lead Cincinnati in passing. In five away games this season, he has 10 TDs (2 INT) and an average of 244.6 yards passing.

Joe Mixon leads the team in rushing with an average of 65.0 yards a game over nine games. He’s also contributed to the passing game with 30.2 receiving yards a game. He has six touchdowns on the ground. Ja’Marr Chase is the Bengals’ leading receiver with 86.4 yards a game and six TDs.

He is averaging 6.7 receptions on 10.6 targets per game. Kenny Pickett has two passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 193.5 yards per game through six games to lead Pittsburgh. In three home games this season, he has thrown for one TD (2 INT) and an average of 128.7 yards.

Najee Harris has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 51.1 yards a game through nine games. He has three total touchdowns, one rushing and two receiving.

Diontae Johnson has been the primary target in the Steelers’ passing game, averaging 48.3 yards per game through nine appearances. Diontae Johnson is averaging 9.0 targets per game (5.2 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Cincinnati Bengals -3.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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