Free NFL Picks Today: Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints 1/1/23

Free NFL Picks Today: Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints 1/1/23
Sun 1st January 2023

The Philadelphia Eagles (13-2, 6-1 Home) play host to the New Orleans Saints (6-9, 2-5 Away) at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday. The Eagles are 6.5-point favorites, and the total is 42. New Orleans is coming off a 17-10 win over the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium last Saturday.

Andy Dalton was 8 of 15 for 92 yards and an interception. Alvin Kamara ran 20 times for 76 yards and a touchdown. He added two receptions for 34 yards. Rashid Shaheed caught four passes for 41 yards. Philadelphia lost 40-34 to the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium last Saturday.

Gardner Minshew II threw for 355 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. Miles Sanders carried 21 times for 65 yards. DeVonta Smith scored twice. He was targeted 12 times, hauling in eight receptions for 113 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Eagles won the only meeting between the teams last season, a 40-29 victory in November. Trevor Siemian tossed three touchdowns for New Orleans.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Saints are averaging 20.2 points per game for the season, 22nd in the NFL, and they are facing an Eagles defense that has surrendered 20.5 PPG (10th). Meanwhile, Philadelphia has scored 29.7 points a game this season, best in the league, and New Orleans is allowing 21.7 PPG (14th).

The Saints rank 15th in the league in passing yards per game (237.9) and 19th in rushing (114.0). They can expect a tough test through the air, as the Eagles are third in the league in passing yards allowed per game (210.1). Against the run, Philadelphia is 18th (120.7).

Philadelphia has been one of the league’s top rushing teams, averaging 153.8 yards per game (4th), while ranking 10th in passing yards (257.4). The Saints are allowing 206.4 passing yards (2nd) and 132.0 rushing yards per game (23rd).

Philadelphia ranks as the most productive red zone offense in the NFL, scoring a touchdown 72% of the time when the team moves inside the 20. New Orleans has been tough to beat when defending their own red zone, holding opponents to a conversion percentage of only 49% (5th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through 12 games, Andy Dalton has thrown for 17 touchdowns (8 INT) and 207.9 yards per game to lead New Orleans in passing. In five away games this season, he has six TDs (6 INT) and an average of 212.0 yards passing. Alvin Kamara leads the team in rushing with an average of 55.2 yards a game over 13 games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 36.9 receiving yards a game. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Chris Olave is the Saints’ leading receiver with 72.3 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 4.8 receptions on 7.8 targets per game.

Jalen Hurts has 22 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 248.0 yards per game through 14 games to lead Philadelphia. In seven home games this season, he has thrown for 14 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 240.7 yards.

Miles Sanders has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 78.3 yards a game through 15 games. He has 11 touchdowns. A.J. Brown has been a key target in the Eagles’ aerial attack. He has 10 touchdowns and an 86.9 yard per game average through 15 appearances. A.J. Brown is averaging 8.4 targets per game (5.3 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Philadelphia Eagles (-225)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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