Free NFL Picks Today: New York Jets vs New England Patriots 10/30/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New York Jets vs New England Patriots 10/30/22
Sun 30th October 2022

The New England Patriots (3-4, 2-2 Away) travel to take on the New York Jets (5-2, 1-2 Home), who will be out to prolong their winning streak, at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. The Patriots are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 40.5.

New England is coming off a 33-14 loss to the Chicago Bears at Gillette Stadium on Monday. Bailey Zappe threw for 185 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson ran 11 times for 39 yards and a touchdown. He added eight receptions for 59 yards. DeVante Parker caught three passes for 68 yards.

New York won for the fourth straight game last Sunday, beating the Denver Broncos 16-9 at Empower Field at Mile High. Zach Wilson was 16 of 26 for 121 yards. Breece Hall carried four times for 72 yards and a touchdown. Michael Carter caught two receptions for 45 yards.


The Patriots won both games between the teams last season, including a 54-13 win in their last meeting in October, their 10th straight win against New York. Mac Jones threw two touchdowns for New England, as Damien Harris added two TDs.


The Patriots are averaging 22.1 points per game for the season, 16th in the NFL, and they are facing a Jets defense that has surrendered 19.6 PPG (10th). Meanwhile, New York has scored 22.7 points a game this season, 14th in the league, and New England is allowing 20.9 PPG (14th).

The Patriots rank 21st in the league in passing yards per game (231.0) and 12th in rushing (122.6), while the Jets are 12th in passing yards allowed per game (223.7) and 11th against the run (105.3).New York is 22nd in the league in passing yards per game (230.4) and 17th in rushing (117.0), while the Patriots are allowing 225.9 passing yards (13th) and 136.7 rushing yards per game (25th).

New York ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.9 times per game (30th) and scoring a touchdown on 60% of those possessions (9th).


Through four games, Mac Jones has thrown for two touchdowns (6 INT) and 199.8 yards per game to lead New England in passing. In two away games this season, he has two TDs (2 INT) and an average of 232.5 yards passing. Rhamondre Stevenson leads the team in rushing with an average of 69.6 yards a game over seven games.

He has four touchdowns on the ground. Jakobi Meyers is the Patriots’ leading receiver with 71.0 yards a game and two TDs. Joe Flacco has five passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 300.3 yards per game through three games to lead New York.

In two home games this season, he has thrown for one TD (3 INT) and an average of 297.0 yards. Breece Hall has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 66.1 yards a game through seven games.

He also has been valuable as a receiver, accumulating 31.1 yards a game through the air. He has five total touchdowns, four rushing and one receiving. Corey Davis has been the primary target in the Jets’ passing game. He has two touchdowns and a 50.1 yard per game average through seven appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

New England Patriots (-145)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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