Free NFL Picks Today: New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins 10/9/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins 10/9/22
Sun 9th October 2022

Two of the league’s top passing offenses are set to square off at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, as the New York Jets (2-2, 0-2 Home) host the Miami Dolphins (3-1, 1-1 Away). The Dolphins are three-point favorites, and the total is 46. Miami is coming off a 27-15 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium last Thursday. Teddy Bridgewater threw for 193 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Raheem Mostert ran 15 times for 69 yards. Tyreek Hill was targeted 14 times, catching 10 passes for 160 yards. New York beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-20 at Acrisure Stadium last Sunday. Zach Wilson was 18 of 36 for 254 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. Breece Hall carried 17 times for 66 yards and a touchdown. Corey Davis also scored once. He had five receptions for 74 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Dolphins won both games between the teams last season, including a 31-24 win in their last meeting in December, their fourth straight win against New York. Tua Tagovailoa threw two touchdowns for Miami, as Duke Johnson added two TDs.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Dolphins are averaging 24.5 points per game so far this season, ninth in the NFL, and they are facing a Jets defense that has surrendered 25.3 PPG (25th). Meanwhile, New York has scored 19.0 points a game this season, 18th in the league, and Miami is allowing 22.8 PPG (16th). The Dolphins rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (307.0, 2nd), while they are 29th in rushing yards (69.3). The Jets are 14th in passing yards allowed per game (230.3) and 13th against the run (108.8).New York has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 293.0 passing yards per game (4th), while ranking 28th in rushing yards (87.5). Miami’s defense has been beatable through the air, as the Dolphins are 31st in the league in passing yards allowed per game (310.3). Against the run, the Dolphins are 11th (103.8). New York ranks as the lowest volume red zone offense in the NFL, advancing inside the 20-yard-line just 2.8 times per game and scoring a touchdown on 64% of those possessions (11th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through four games, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for eight touchdowns (3 INT) and 258.8 yards per game to lead Miami in passing. In two away games this season, he has six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 289.5 yards passing. Raheem Mostert leads the team in rushing with an average of 36.8 yards a game over four games. Tyreek Hill is the Dolphins’ leading receiver with 119.2 yards a game and two TDs. He is averaging 7.8 receptions on 10.8 targets per game. Joe Flacco has five passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 300.3 yards per game through three games to lead New York. In two home games this season, he has thrown for one TD (3 INT) and an average of 297.0 yards. Breece Hall has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 44.5 yards a game through four games. He has two total touchdowns, one rushing and one receiving. Corey Davis has been the primary target in the Jets’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 65.2 yard per game average through four appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Miami Dolphins (-185)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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