Free NFL Picks Today: New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals 9/25/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals 9/25/22
Sun 25th September 2022

The New York Jets (1-1, 0-1 Home) welcome the Cincinnati Bengals (0-2, 0-1 Away) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. The Bengals are six-point favorites, and the total is 45. Cincinnati is coming off a narrow 20-17 loss against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium last Sunday. Joe Burrow threw for 199 yards and a touchdown. Joe Mixon ran 19 times for 57 yards. Tee Higgins was targeted 10 times, catching six passes for 71 yards and a touchdown. New York beat the Cleveland Browns 31-30 at FirstEnergy Stadium last Sunday. Joe Flacco was 26 of 44 for 324 yards and four touchdowns. Breece Hall carried seven times for 50 yards. Garrett Wilson added two touchdowns of his own. He was targeted 14 times, hauling in eight receptions for 102 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Jets won the only meeting between the teams last season, a 34-31 victory in October. Mike White threw three touchdowns for New York. Burrow tossed three touchdowns for Cincinnati, as Mixon added two TDs (1 rush, 1 rec).

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Bengals are averaging 18.5 points per game so far this season, 19th in the NFL, and they are facing a Jets defense that has surrendered 27.0 PPG (25th). Meanwhile, New York has scored 20.0 points a game this season, 15th in the league, and Cincinnati is allowing 21.5 PPG (15th).The Bengals rank 11th in the league in passing yards per game (268.5) and 14th in rushing (111.0), while the Jets are 14th in passing yards allowed per game (221.0) and 21st against the run (123.5).New York has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 316.5 passing yards per game (3rd), while ranking 23rd in rushing yards (88.0). The Bengals are allowing 214.5 passing yards (10th) and 91.0 rushing yards per game (12th).Cincinnati is averaging 3.0 trips to the red zone a game so far this season, third lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 50% of the time (19th). New York ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 3.0 times per game (30th) and scoring a touchdown on 67% of those possessions (12th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through two games, Burrow has thrown for three touchdowns (4 INT) and 268.5 yards per game to lead Cincinnati in passing. Mixon leads the team in rushing with an average of 69.5 yards a game over two games. He’s also contributed to the passing game with 44.5 receiving yards a game. Ja’Marr Chase is the Bengals’ leading receiver with 91.5 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 7.5 receptions on 12.5 targets per game. Flacco has five passing touchdowns (1 INT) with 308.0 yards per game through two games to lead New York. In one previous home game this season, he threw for one TD (1 INT) and 309 yards. Michael Carter has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 41.5 yards a game through two games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, racking up 33.5 yards a game through the air. Corey Davis has been a key target in the Jets’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and an 80.0 yard per game average through two appearances. Davis is averaging 7.0 targets per game (4.0 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Cincinnati Bengals (-250)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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