Free NFL Picks Today: New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills 11/6/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills 11/6/22
Sun 6th November 2022

The New York Jets (5-3, 1-3 Home) welcome the Buffalo Bills (6-1, 3-1 Away), who will be looking to extend their winning run, at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. The Bills are 11.5-point favorites, and the total is 46. Buffalo is coming off a 27-17 win over the Green Bay Packers at Highmark Stadium last Sunday, their fourth straight victory.

Josh Allen threw for 218 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Devin Singletary ran 14 times for 67 yards. Stefon Diggs was targeted eight times, catching six passes for 108 yards and a touchdown.New York lost 22-17 to the New England Patriots at MetLife Stadium last Sunday.

Zach Wilson was 20 of 41 for 355 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions. Michael Carter carried seven times for 26 yards and added four catches for 35 yards. Garrett Wilson hauled in six receptions for 115 yards.


The Bills won both games between the teams last season, including a 27-10 win in their last meeting in January, their fourth straight win against New York. Josh Allen threw two touchdowns for Buffalo, as Devin Singletary added two TDs (1 rush, 1 rec).


The Bills are averaging 29.0 points per game for the season, second in the NFL, and they are facing a Jets defense that has surrendered 19.9 PPG (11th). Meanwhile, New York has scored 22.0 points a game this season, 18th in the league, and Buffalo is allowing 14.0 PPG (1st).

The Bills rank as the league’s top team in passing yards per game (315.1, 1st), while they are 14th in rushing yards (122.9). The Jets are 10th in passing yards allowed per game (220.0) and ninth against the run (108.0). New York is 16th in the league in passing yards per game (246.0) and 20th in rushing (108.8).

Buffalo’s defense will prove challenging on the ground, as the Bills are 4th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (95.0). Against the pass, the Bills are 13th (223.0).New York ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.9 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on 61% of those possessions (12th).


Through seven games, Josh Allen has thrown for 19 touchdowns (6 INT) and 314.0 yards per game to lead Buffalo in passing. In four away games this season, he has nine TDs (3 INT) and an average of 309.8 yards passing.

Devin Singletary leads the team in rushing with an average of 46.1 yards a game over seven games. Stefon Diggs is the Bills’ leading receiver with 109.1 yards a game and seven TDs. He is averaging 7.9 receptions on 10.4 targets per game.

Zach Wilson has three passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 209.6 yards per game through five games to lead New York. In two home games this season, he has thrown for two TDs (3 INT) and an average of 282.5 yards.

Breece Hall has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 66.1 yards a game through seven games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, accumulating 31.1 yards a game through the air. He has five total touchdowns, four rushing and one receiving.

Garrett Wilson has been a key target in the Jets’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 53.6 yard per game average through eight appearances. Garrett Wilson is averaging 7.4 targets per game (4.2 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Buffalo (-600)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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