Free NFL Picks Today: New York Giants vs Washington Commanders 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New York Giants vs Washington Commanders 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The Washington Commanders (7-5, 4-2 Away) will be looking to add to their winning run when they head to take on the New York Giants (7-4, 4-2 Home) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. The Commanders are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 40.5.

Washington is coming off a 19-13 win over the Atlanta Falcons at FedEx Field last Sunday, their third consecutive victory. Taylor Heinicke was 14 of 23 for 138 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Brian Robinson Jr. ran 18 times for 105 yards. Terry McLaurin caught four passes for 48 yards. New York lost 28-20 to the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium last Thursday.

Daniel Jones threw for 228 yards and a touchdown. Saquon Barkley carried 11 times for 39 yards and a touchdown. Darius Slayton had three receptions for 63 yards.


The Commanders won both games between the teams last season, including a 22-7 win in their last meeting in January. Antonio Gibson had a rushing touchdown for Washington.


The Commanders are averaging 19.4 points per game for the season, 24th in the NFL, and they are facing a Giants defense that has surrendered 21.1 PPG (14th). Meanwhile, New York has scored 20.5 points a game this season, 22nd in the league, and Washington is allowing 19.7 PPG (10th).

The Commanders rank 24th in the league in passing yards per game (221.5) and 15th in rushing (121.1), while the Giants are 15th in passing yards allowed per game (227.2) and 26th against the run (138.9). New York has been one of the league’s least productive passing teams, averaging 197.8 passing yards per game (28th), while ranking sixth in rushing yards (151.1).

The Commanders are allowing 220.0 passing yards (10th) and 108.4 rushing yards per game (8th).Washington is averaging 2.7 red zone trips a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 53% of the time (20th).

The Commanders may struggle to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s best red zone defenses, as the Giants have allowed opponents to score on only 49% of red zone trips (5th). New York ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.9 times per game (28th) and scoring a touchdown on 59% of those possessions (11th).


Through six games, Carson Wentz has thrown for 10 touchdowns (6 INT) and 248.2 yards per game to lead Washington in passing. In three away games this season, he has four TDs (3 INT) and an average of 202.0 yards passing.

Antonio Gibson leads the team in rushing with an average of 39.7 yards a game over 12 games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Terry McLaurin is the Commanders’ leading receiver with 70.0 yards a game and two TDs. He is averaging 4.5 receptions on 7.2 targets per game.Daniel Jones has 10 passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 196.8 yards per game through 11 games to lead New York.

In six home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 192.3 yards. Saquon Barkley has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 90.2 yards a game through 11 games. He has seven touchdowns. Darius Slayton has been a key target in the Giants’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 59.5 yard per game average through eight appearances.


Washington has won four in a row away from FedEx Field this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

NY Giants (+110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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