Free NFL Picks Today: New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts 1/1/23

Free NFL Picks Today: New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts 1/1/23
Sun 1st January 2023

The New York Giants (8-6-1, 4-3-1 Home) play host to the Indianapolis Colts (4-10-1, 2-5-1 Away), who will be hoping to halt their losing run, at MetLife Stadium on Sunday. The Giants are 5.5-point favorites, and the total is 39.

Indianapolis is coming off a 20-3 loss against the Los Angeles Chargers at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday, their fifth straight defeat. Nick Foles was 17 of 29 for 143 yards and three interceptions. Zack Moss ran 12 times for 65 yards.

Jelani Woods caught three passes for 43 yards. New York lost 27-24 to the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium last Saturday. Daniel Jones threw for 334 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Saquon Barkley carried 14 times for 84 yards and a touchdown and added eight catches for 49 yards. Richie James Jr. was targeted 11 times, hauling in eight receptions for 90 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2018, a 28-27 win for the Colts.


The Colts are averaging 16.5 points per game for the season, 31st in the NFL, and they are facing a Giants defense that has surrendered 22.6 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, New York has scored 20.7 points a game this season, 20th in the league, and Indianapolis is allowing 23.8 PPG (25th).The Colts rank 18th in the league in passing yards per game (233.6) and 25th in rushing (102.8).

They will look to take advantage on the ground, as the Giants are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (145.9). Against the pass, New York is 19th (235.9).

New York is 27th in the league in passing yards per game (205.7) and sixth in rushing (144.9), while the Colts are allowing 223.2 passing yards (11th) and 122.2 rushing yards per game (20th).

Indianapolis is averaging 2.7 trips to the red zone a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 44% of the time (31st).

New York ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.8 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on 62% of those possessions (8th). Indianapolis has had trouble defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 66% of the time (30th).


Through 12 games, Matt Ryan has thrown for 14 touchdowns (13 INT) and 254.8 yards per game to lead Indianapolis in passing. In seven away games this season, he has six TDs (11 INT) and an average of 239.7 yards passing. Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing with an average of 86.1 yards a game over 10 games. He has four touchdowns on the ground.

Michael Pittman Jr. is the Colts’ leading receiver with 61.0 yards a game and two TDs. He is averaging 6.4 receptions on 9.1 targets per game. Daniel Jones has 13 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 201.9 yards per game through 15 games to lead New York. In eight home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (3 INT) and an average of 190.4 yards.

Saquon Barkley has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 83.6 yards a game through 15 games. He has 10 touchdowns. Darius Slayton has been a key target in the Giants’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 59.2 yard per game average through 12 appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

NY Giants (-250)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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