Free NFL Picks Today: New York Giants vs Chicago Bears 10/2/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New York Giants vs Chicago Bears 10/2/22
Sun 2nd October 2022

Two of the league’s top running offenses are set to face off at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, as the Chicago Bears (2-1, 0-1 Away) are on the road to take on the New York Giants (2-1, 1-1 Home). The Giants are three-point favorites, and the total is 39.5. Chicago is coming off a close 23-20 win over the Houston Texans at Soldier Field last Sunday. Justin Fields was 8 of 17 for 106 yards and two interceptions. Khalil Herbert ran 20 times for 157 yards and two touchdowns. Cole Kmet caught two passes for 40 yards. New York lost 23-16 to the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium on Monday. Daniel Jones threw for 196 yards and an interception. Saquon Barkley carried 14 times for 81 yards and a touchdown and added four catches for 45 yards. Sterling Shepard was targeted 10 times, hauling in five receptions for 49 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Bears won the only game between the teams last season, a 29-3 victory in January. David Montgomery had two touchdowns for Chicago.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Bears are averaging 17.3 points per game so far this season, 20th in the NFL, and they are facing a Giants defense that has surrendered 19.7 PPG (12th). Meanwhile, New York has scored 18.7 points a game this season, 18th in the league, and Chicago is allowing 19.0 PPG (11th). The Bears rank as one of the league’s top teams in rushing yards per game (186.7, 2nd), while they are 32nd in passing yards (99.0). The Giants are seventh in passing yards allowed per game (208.7) and 25th against the run (138.3). New York has been one of the league’s top rushing teams, averaging 169.3 yards per game (4th), while ranking 29th in passing yards (186.7). Chicago’s defense has been susceptible on the ground, as the Bears are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (157.0). Against the pass, the Bears are 8th (214.3).Chicago is averaging 2.3 trips to the red zone a game this season, zeroth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 71% of the time (6th). New York ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.0 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on 50% of those possessions (21st).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through three games, Fields has thrown for two touchdowns (4 INT) and 99.0 yards per game to lead Chicago in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had zero TDs (1 INT) and 70 yards passing. Herbert leads the team in rushing with an average of 80.0 yards a game over three games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Equanimeous St. Brown is the Bears’ leading receiver with 25.7 yards a game and one TD. Jones has three passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 186.7 yards per game through three games to lead New York. In two home games this season, he has thrown for one TD (1 INT) and an average of 186.0 yards. Barkley has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 105.7 yards a game through three games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, racking up 30.3 yards a game through the air. He has two touchdowns. Shepard has been the primary target in the Giants’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 51.3 yard per game average through three appearances. Shepard is averaging 8.0 targets per game (4.3 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

NY Giants (-150)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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