Free NFL Picks Today: New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks 10/9/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks 10/9/22
Sun 9th October 2022

The New Orleans Saints (1-3, 0-2 Home) will be looking to end their losing streak when they play host to the Seattle Seahawks (2-2, 1-1 Away) at Caesars Superdome on Sunday. The Saints are 5.5-point favorites, and the total is 46. Seattle is coming off a tight 48-45 win over the Detroit Lions at Ford Field last Sunday. Geno Smith threw for 320 yards and two touchdowns. Rashaad Penny ran 17 times for 151 yards and two touchdowns. DK Metcalf was targeted 10 times, catching seven passes for 149 yards. New Orleans dropped a third straight game last Sunday, falling 28-25 to the Minnesota Vikings at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Andy Dalton was 20 of 28 for 236 yards and a touchdown. Latavius Murray carried 11 times for 57 yards and a touchdown. Chris Olave also scored once. He had four receptions for 67 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Saints won the only meeting between the teams last season, a 13-10 victory in October. Jameis Winston threw one touchdown for New Orleans, as Alvin Kamara added one receiving TDs.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Seahawks are averaging 23.8 points per game so far this season, 11th in the NFL, and they are facing a Saints defense that has surrendered 24.0 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, New Orleans has scored 19.0 points a game this season, 18th in the league, and Seattle is allowing 28.8 PPG (31st). The Seahawks rank 14th in the league in passing yards per game (259.3) and 13th in rushing (114.8), while the Saints are ninth in passing yards allowed per game (215.3) and 20th against the run (124.8). New Orleans is 10th in the league in passing yards per game (273.5) and 16th in rushing (111.5). Seattle’s defense has been most beatable on the ground, as the Seahawks are 29th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (154.0). Against the pass, the Seahawks are 27th (284.3). Seattle has found the end zone on 42% of red zone trips this season, sixth lowest in the NFL, averaging 3.0 trips a game (27th). The Seahawks may struggle to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s best red zone defenses, as the Saints have allowed opponents to score on only 36% of red zone trips (3rd). New Orleans ranks as one of the most productive red zone offenses in the league, scoring a touchdown 75% of the time (3rd) when the team moves inside the 20.

TOP PERFORMERS

Through four games, Geno Smith has thrown for six touchdowns (2 INT) and 259.2 yards per game to lead Seattle in passing. In two away games this season, he has two TDs (1 INT) and an average of 258.5 yards passing. Rashaad Penny leads the team in rushing with an average of 73.0 yards a game over four games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Tyler Lockett is the Seahawks’ leading receiver with 75.5 yards a game. He is averaging 6.8 receptions on 8.5 targets per game. Jameis Winston has four passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 286.0 yards per game through three games to lead New Orleans. In one previous home game this season, he threw for one TD and 236 yards. Mark Ingram II has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 32.0 yards a game through four games. He has one touchdown. Chris Olave has been the primary target in the Saints’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and an 83.8 yard per game average through four appearances. Chris Olave is averaging 9.0 targets per game (5.2 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

New Orleans Saints (-225)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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