Free NFL Picks Today: New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals 12/24/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals 12/24/22
Sat 24th December 2022

The New England Patriots (7-7, 3-3 Home) host the Cincinnati Bengals (10-4, 5-3 Away), who will be looking to add to their winning streak, at Gillette Stadium on Saturday. The Bengals are three-point favorites, and the total is 41.5.

Cincinnati is coming off a 34-23 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium on Sunday, their sixth consecutive victory. Joe Burrow threw for 200 yards with four touchdowns and an interception.

Samaje Perine ran seven times for 24 yards. Ja’Marr Chase was targeted 13 times, catching seven passes for 60 yards and a touchdown.

New England lost 30-24 to the Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. Mac Jones was 13 of 31 for 112 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson carried 19 times for 172 yards and a touchdown. Jakobi Meyers had two receptions for 47 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2019, a 34-13 win for the Patriots.


The Bengals are averaging 26.4 points per game for the season, fifth in the NFL, and they are facing a Patriots defense that has surrendered 19.2 PPG (7th). Meanwhile, New England has scored 21.4 points a game this season, 17th in the league, and Cincinnati is allowing 20.6 PPG (10th).

The Bengals rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (280.7, 4th), while they are 26th in rushing yards (100.0). The Patriots are 12th in passing yards allowed per game (223.9) and ninth against the run (110.3).

New England is 23rd in the league in passing yards per game (223.4) and 19th in rushing (112.0), while the Bengals are allowing 235.9 passing yards (19th) and 109.6 rushing yards per game (8th).

Cincinnati has found the end zone on 68% of red zone trips this season, fourth most in the NFL, averaging 3.6 trips a game (11th). New England ranks as the weakest red zone threat in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.6 times per game and scoring a touchdown on just 38% of those possessions.


Through 14 games, Joe Burrow has thrown for 31 touchdowns (10 INT) and 277.5 yards per game to lead Cincinnati in passing. In eight away games this season, he has 19 TDs (5 INT) and an average of 256.0 yards passing. Joe Mixon leads the team in rushing with an average of 60.2 yards a game over 12 games.

He has six touchdowns on the ground. Tee Higgins is the Bengals’ leading receiver with 74.5 yards a game and six TDs. He is averaging 5.4 receptions on 7.8 targets per game. Mac Jones has seven passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 210.0 yards per game through 11 games to lead New England.

In five home games this season, he has thrown for two TDs (4 INT) and an average of 184.4 yards. Rhamondre Stevenson has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 65.3 yards a game through 14 games.

He has six total touchdowns, five rushing and one receiving. Jakobi Meyers has been a key target in the Patriots’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 58.2 yard per game average through 11 appearances.


Cincinnati has won three staight away from Paycor Stadium this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Cincinnati Bengals (-160)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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