Free NFL Picks Today: New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens 9/25/22

Free NFL Picks Today: New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens 9/25/22
Sun 25th September 2022

The New England Patriots (1-1, 0-0 Home) host the Baltimore Ravens (1-1, 1-0 Away) at Gillette Stadium on Sunday for their home opener. The Ravens are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 44. Baltimore is coming off a 42-38 loss at the hands of the Miami Dolphins at M&T Bank Stadium last Sunday. Lamar Jackson threw for 318 yards and three touchdowns. He also ran nine times for 119 yards and a touchdown. Rashod Bateman caught four passes for 108 yards and a touchdown. New England beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 17-14 at Acrisure Stadium last Sunday. Mac Jones was 21 of 35 for 252 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Damien Harris carried 15 times for 71 yards and a touchdown. Nelson Agholor also scored once. He hauled in six receptions for 110 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2020, a 23-17 win for the Patriots. Cam Newton threw one touchdown for New England. Jackson tossed two touchdowns for Baltimore, as Willie Snead IV found the end zone twice.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Ravens are averaging 31.0 points per game so far this season, fourth in the NFL, and they are facing a Patriots defense that has surrendered 17.0 PPG (8th). Meanwhile, New England has scored 12.0 points a game this season, 29th in the league, and Baltimore is allowing 25.5 PPG (23rd). The Ravens rank 12th in the league in passing yards per game (265.5) and 18th in rushing (109.0). They will face a tough test on the ground, as the Patriots are fifth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (78.0). Against the pass, New England is 13th (219.0).New England is 20th in the league in passing yards per game (232.5) and 19th in rushing (101.0). Baltimore’s defense has been most beatable through the air, as the Ravens are worst in the league in passing yards allowed per game (389.0). Against the run, the Ravens are 8th (84.5).Baltimore is averaging 2.5 trips to the red zone a game so far this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 60% of the time (15th). The Ravens may struggle to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s best red zone defenses, as the Patriots have allowed opponents to score on only 25% of red zone trips (3rd). New England ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.0 times per game (31st) and scoring a touchdown on 50% of those possessions (19th). Baltimore has had difficulty defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 83% of the time (29th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through two games, Jackson has thrown for six touchdowns (1 INT) and 265.5 yards per game to lead Baltimore in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had three TDs (1 INT) and 213 yards passing. Jackson also leads the team in rushing with an average of 68.0 yards per game. He has one touchdown on the ground. Bateman is the Ravens’ leading receiver with 83.5 yards a game and two TDs.Jones has two passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 232.5 yards per game through two games to lead New England. Harris has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 59.5 yards a game through two games. He has one touchdown. Jakobi Meyers has been a key target in the Patriots’ passing game, averaging 75.0 yards per game through two appearances. Meyers is averaging 9.5 targets per game (6.5 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Baltimore Ravens (-150)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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