Free NFL Picks Today: Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The New York Jets (7-4, 4-1 Away) travel to face the Minnesota Vikings (9-2, 5-1 Home) at U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday. The Vikings are three-point favorites, and the total is 44.5. New York is coming off a runaway 31-10 win over the Chicago Bears at MetLife Stadium last Sunday.

Mike White was 22 of 28 for 315 yards and three touchdowns. Zonovan Knight ran 14 times for 69 yards. He added three receptions for 34 yards. Garrett Wilson was targeted eight times, catching five passes for 95 yards and two touchdowns.

Minnesota beat the New England Patriots 33-26 at U.S. Bank Stadium last Thursday. Kirk Cousins threw for 310 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. Dalvin Cook carried 22 times for 42 yards. Justin Jefferson scored once. He was targeted 11 times, hauling in nine receptions for 139 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2018, a 37-17 win for the Vikings.


The Jets are averaging 20.9 points per game for the season, 20th in the NFL, and they are facing a Vikings defense that has surrendered 23.4 PPG (21st). Meanwhile, Minnesota has scored 23.8 points a game this season, 12th in the league, and New York is allowing 17.8 PPG (4th).

The Jets rank 21st in the league in passing yards per game (228.6) and 20th in rushing (114.6). The best opportunities are likely to come through the air, as the Vikings are worst in the league in passing yards allowed per game (293.3). Against the run, Minnesota is 14th (114.6).

Minnesota is seventh in the league in passing yards per game (259.8) and 26th in rushing (99.4), while the Jets are allowing 217.3 passing yards (9th) and 111.3 rushing yards per game (12th). New York is averaging 2.8 trips to the red zone a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 55% of the time (16th).


Through seven games, Zach Wilson has thrown for four touchdowns (5 INT) and 182.7 yards per game to lead New York in passing. In four away games this season, he has one TD (2 INT) and an average of 140.0 yards passing. Breece Hall leads the team in rushing with an average of 66.1 yards a game over seven games.

He’s also contributed to the passing attack with 31.1 receiving yards a game. He has four touchdowns on the ground. Garrett Wilson is the Jets’ leading receiver with 57.1 yards a game and four TDs. He is averaging 4.5 receptions on 7.2 targets per game.

Kirk Cousins has 17 passing touchdowns (9 INT) with 250.9 yards per game through 11 games to lead Minnesota. In six home games this season, he has thrown for 10 TDs (2 INT) and an average of 244.8 yards.

Dalvin Cook has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 76.5 yards a game through 11 games. He has seven total touchdowns, six rushing and one receiving. Justin Jefferson has been a star in the Vikings’ passing game. He has five touchdowns and a 112.0 yard per game average through 11 appearances. Justin Jefferson is averaging 10.5 targets per game (7.4 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Minnesota Vikings (-150)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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