A matchup of strength against strength is set for Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, as the Miami Dolphins (8-6, 5-1 Home) and their great passing offense welcome the Green Bay Packers (6-8, 2-5 Away) and their superb aerial defense.
The Dolphins are four-point favorites, and the total is 50. Green Bay is coming off a 24-12 win over the Los Angeles Rams at Lambeau Field on Monday. Aaron Rodgers was 22 of 30 for 229 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Aaron Jones ran 17 times for 90 yards.
He added four receptions for 36 yards and a touchdown. Romeo Doubs caught five passes for 55 yards. Miami dropped a third straight game last Saturday, falling 32-29 to the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium.
Tua Tagovailoa threw for 234 yards and two touchdowns. Raheem Mostert carried 17 times for 136 yards. Jaylen Waddle scored once. He had three receptions for 114 yards.
The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2018, a 31-12 win for the Packers.
TALE OF THE TAPE
The Packers are averaging 20.5 points per game for the season, 20th in the NFL, and they are facing a Dolphins defense that has surrendered 24.6 PPG (26th). Meanwhile, Miami has scored 24.6 points a game this season, ninth in the league, and Green Bay is allowing 22.4 PPG (15th).
The Packers rank 18th in the league in passing yards per game (234.2) and 12th in rushing (126.3). The best opportunities are likely to come through the air, as the Dolphins are 29th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (263.6).
Against the run, Miami is 10th (111.3).Miami has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 288.4 passing yards per game (2nd), while ranking 27th in rushing yards (96.9).
Green Bay’s defense has been equally impressive through the air, as the Packers are No. 1 in the league in passing yards allowed per game (196.9). Against the run, the Packers are 29th (148.9).
Through 14 games, Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 23 touchdowns (10 INT) and 220.9 yards per game to lead Green Bay in passing. In seven away games this season, he has 10 TDs (8 INT) and an average of 208.6 yards passing.
Aaron Jones leads the team in rushing with an average of 66.9 yards a game over 14 games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Allen Lazard is the Packers’ leading receiver with 52.2 yards a game and five TDs.Tua Tagovailoa has 24 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 269.8 yards per game through 12 games to lead Miami.
In five home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs and an average of 260.2 yards. Raheem Mostert has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 57.4 yards a game through 13 games. He has four total touchdowns, three rushing and one receiving.
Tyreek Hill has been a star in the Dolphins’ aerial attack. He has seven touchdowns and a 109.2 yard per game average through 14 appearances. Tyreek Hill is averaging 10.9 targets per game (7.8 receptions).
HOME AND AWAY
Miami has won three in a row at home this season.
SportsTips’ NFL Pick:
Miami Dolphins (-190)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.