Free NFL Picks Today: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills 9/25/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills 9/25/22
Sun 25th September 2022

The Miami Dolphins (2-0, 1-0 Home) play host to the Buffalo Bills (2-0, 1-0 Away) at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday. The Bills are 5.5-point favorites, and the total is 52.5. Buffalo is coming off a one-sided 41-7 win over the Tennessee Titans at Highmark Stadium on Monday. Josh Allen was 26 of 38 for 317 yards and four touchdowns. James Cook ran 11 times for 53 yards. Stefon Diggs was targeted 15 times, catching 12 passes for 148 yards and three touchdowns. Miami beat the Baltimore Ravens 42-38 at M&T Bank Stadium last Sunday. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 469 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions. Raheem Mostert carried 11 times for 51 yards. Tyreek Hill scored twice. He was targeted 13 times, hauling in 11 receptions for 190 yards.


The Bills won both games between the teams last season, including a 26-11 win in their last meeting in October, their seventh straight win against Miami. Allen threw two touchdowns and ran for another one for Buffalo.


The Bills are averaging 36.0 points per game so far this season, best in the NFL, and they are facing a Dolphins defense that has surrendered 22.5 PPG (18th). Meanwhile, Miami has scored 31.0 points a game this season, fourth in the league, and Buffalo is allowing 8.5 PPG (2nd).The Bills rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (307.0, 4th), while they are 14th in rushing yards (111.0). The Dolphins are 21st in passing yards allowed per game (265.5) and 17th against the run (116.5). Miami has been the league’s top passing team, averaging 369.5 passing yards per game, while ranking 28th in rushing yards (75.5). Buffalo’s defense has been equally impressive through the air, as the Bills are 4th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (181.5). Against the run, the Bills are 1st (66.0).Buffalo is averaging 3.5 red zone trips a game so far this season, third lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 71% of the time (9th). Miami ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line just 3.0 times per game (30th) and scoring a touchdown on 67% of those possessions (12th).


Through two games, Allen has thrown for seven touchdowns (2 INT) and 307.0 yards per game to lead Buffalo in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had three TDs (2 INT) and 297 yards passing. Devin Singletary leads the team in rushing with an average of 33.5 yards a game over two games. Diggs is the Bills’ leading receiver with 135.0 yards a game and four TDs. He is averaging 10.0 receptions on 12.0 targets per game. Tagovailoa has seven passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 369.5 yards per game through two games to lead Miami. In one previous home game this season, he threw for one TD and 270 yards. Mostert has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 33.5 yards a game through two games. Hill has been a workhorse in the Dolphins’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 142.0 yard per game average through two appearances. Hill is averaging 12.5 targets per game (9.5 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Buffalo Bills (-225)

Want up to a $1K risk free bet for this pick?
Claim with betmgm image today!

If you need more news, information and predictions, head over to our NFL hub page for all your football needs!

*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

SportsTips covers all the latest betting, odds, picks & predictions news when it comes to major American sports like NFL, NBA, MLB & NHL. If you want to stay up to date with the latest information, SportsTips has you covered!