Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The Los Angeles Rams (3-8, 2-4 Home) will be hoping to halt their losing streak when they host the Seattle Seahawks (6-5, 3-3 Away) at SoFi Stadium on Sunday. The Seahawks are 7.5-point favorites, and the total is 41.

Seattle is coming off a 40-34 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders at Lumen Field last Sunday. Geno Smith threw for 328 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Kenneth Walker III ran 14 times for 26 yards and two touchdowns. DK Metcalf was targeted 15 times, catching 11 passes for 90 yards.

Los Angeles dropped a fifth straight game last Sunday, falling 26-10 to the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Bryce Perkins was 13 of 23 for 106 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. He added 44 yards on the ground. Van Jefferson scored once. He had three receptions for 29 yards.


The Rams won both games between the teams last season, including a 20-10 win in their last meeting in December, their third straight win against Seattle. Matthew Stafford threw two touchdowns for Los Angeles, as Cooper Kupp scored twice.


The Seahawks are averaging 26.5 points per game for the season, fourth in the NFL, and they are facing a Rams defense that has surrendered 23.0 PPG (18th). Meanwhile, Los Angeles has scored 16.2 points a game this season, 29th in the league, and Seattle is allowing 25.6 PPG (28th). The Seahawks rank ninth in the league in passing yards per game (254.7) and 16th in rushing (118.9).

They can expect a tough test on the ground, as the Rams are fourth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (97.3). Against the pass, Los Angeles is 20th (240.7). Los Angeles has been one of the league’s least successful rushing teams, averaging 79.7 yards per game (31st), while ranking 22nd in passing yards (225.3).

Seattle’s defense has been most beatable on the ground, as the Seahawks are 29th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (153.8). Against the pass, the Seahawks are 22nd (251.4). Los Angeles ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the NFL, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.6 times per game (31st) and scoring a touchdown on 52% of those possessions (22nd).


Through 11 games, Geno Smith has thrown for 19 touchdowns (5 INT) and 254.7 yards per game to lead Seattle in passing. In six away games this season, he has 11 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 257.5 yards passing. Kenneth Walker III leads the team in rushing with an average of 61.3 yards a game over 10 games.

He has nine touchdowns on the ground. Tyler Lockett is the Seahawks’ leading receiver with 64.4 yards a game and six TDs. He is averaging 5.2 receptions on 7.1 targets per game. Matthew Stafford has 10 passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 231.9 yards per game through nine games to lead Los Angeles.

In five home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (7 INT) and an average of 252.0 yards. Darrell Henderson Jr. has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 28.3 yards a game through 10 games.

He has three touchdowns. Cooper Kupp has been a key target in the Rams’ passing game. He has six touchdowns and a 90.2 yard per game average through nine appearances. Cooper Kupp is averaging 10.9 targets per game (8.3 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Seattle Seahawks -7 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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