Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos 12/25/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos 12/25/22
Sun 25th December 2022

The Denver Broncos (4-10, 1-6 Away) are on the road to take on the Los Angeles Rams (4-10, 3-5 Home) at SoFi Stadium on Sunday. The Broncos are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 36.5. Denver is coming off a 24-15 win over the Arizona Cardinals at Empower Field at Mile High last Sunday. Brett Rypien threw for 197 yards with a touchdown and an interception.

Latavius Murray ran 24 times for 130 yards and a touchdown. Jerry Jeudy was targeted eight times, catching seven passes for 76 yards. Los Angeles lost 24-12 to the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on Monday. Baker Mayfield was 12 of 21 for 111 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Cam Akers carried 12 times for 65 yards and added three catches for 35 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2018, a 23-20 win for the Rams.


The Broncos are averaging 15.6 points per game for the season, worst in the NFL, and they are facing a Rams defense that has surrendered 22.9 PPG (18th). Meanwhile, Los Angeles has scored 16.4 points a game this season, 31st in the league, and Denver is allowing 18.1 PPG (3rd).

The Broncos rank 19th in the league in passing yards per game (231.6) and 23rd in rushing (107.8). They will face a tough test on the ground, as the Rams are fourth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (104.5).

Against the pass, Los Angeles is 21st (241.5).Los Angeles has been one of the league’s least successful rushing teams, averaging 85.1 yards per game (30th), while ranking 25th in passing yards (214.1). The Broncos are allowing 211.6 passing yards (5th) and 114.5 rushing yards per game (14th).

Denver is averaging 2.1 red zone trips a game this season, zeroth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 50% of the time (25th). The Broncos may struggle to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s best red zone defenses, as the Rams have allowed opponents to score on only 44% of red zone trips (2nd).

Los Angeles ranks as the lowest volume red zone offense in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.5 times per game and scoring a touchdown on 54% of those possessions (15th).

Denver has been tough to beat when defending their own red zone, holding opponents to a conversion percentage of only 38%, best in the league.


Through 12 games, Russell Wilson has thrown for 11 touchdowns (6 INT) and 233.8 yards per game to lead Denver in passing. In seven away games this season, he has seven TDs (2 INT) and an average of 233.4 yards passing. Latavius Murray leads the team in rushing with an average of 56.7 yards a game over 10 games.

He has four touchdowns on the ground. Courtland Sutton is the Broncos’ leading receiver with 57.3 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 4.3 receptions on 7.4 targets per game.

Matthew Stafford has 10 passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 231.9 yards per game through nine games to lead Los Angeles. In five home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (7 INT) and an average of 252.0 yards.

Cam Akers has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 36.8 yards a game through 12 games. He has four touchdowns. Cooper Kupp has been the primary target in the Rams’ passing game.

He has six touchdowns and a 90.2 yard per game average through nine appearances. Cooper Kupp is averaging 10.9 targets per game (8.3 receptions).


Denver has lost three in a row away from Empower Field at Mile High this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Rams (+140)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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