Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams 1/1/23

Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams 1/1/23
Sun 1st January 2023

The Los Angeles Chargers (9-6, 4-3 Home) will be out to extend their winning run when they play host to the Los Angeles Rams (5-10, 1-5 Away) at SoFi Stadium on Sunday. The Chargers are 6.5-point favorites, and the total is 42.5.

The Rams are coming off a dominant 51-14 win over the Denver Broncos at SoFi Stadium last Sunday. Baker Mayfield was 24 of 28 for 230 yards and two touchdowns. Cam Akers ran 23 times for 118 yards and three touchdowns.

Tyler Higbee was targeted 11 times, catching nine passes for 94 yards and two touchdowns. The Chargers won for the third straight game on Monday, beating the Indianapolis Colts 20-3 at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Justin Herbert threw for 235 yards and an interception. Austin Ekeler carried 18 times for 67 yards and two touchdowns. Keenan Allen was targeted 14 times, hauling in 11 receptions for 104 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2018, a 35-23 win for the Rams.


The Rams are averaging 18.7 points per game for the season, 26th in the NFL, and they are facing a Chargers defense that has surrendered 22.9 PPG (21st). Meanwhile, the Chargers have scored 22.1 points a game this season, 13th in the league, and the Rams are allowing 22.3 PPG (17th).

The Rams rank as one of the league’s worst teams in rushing yards per game (89.9, 29th), while they are 25th in passing yards (215.1). The Chargers are 10th in passing yards allowed per game (218.5) and 26th against the run (140.5).

The Chargers have been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 283.6 passing yards per game (4th), while ranking 31st in rushing yards (84.9).

The Rams are allowing 242.7 passing yards (21st) and 104.5 rushing yards per game (5th).The Rams are averaging 2.7 red zone trips a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 59% of the time (12th).


Through nine games, Matthew Stafford has thrown for 10 touchdowns (8 INT) and 231.9 yards per game to lead the Rams in passing. In four away games this season, he has three TDs (1 INT) and an average of 206.8 yards passing. Cam Akers leads the team in rushing with an average of 43.0 yards a game over 13 games.

He has seven touchdowns on the ground. Cooper Kupp is the Rams’ leading receiver with 90.2 yards a game and six TDs. He is averaging 8.3 receptions on 10.9 targets per game.Justin Herbert has 21 passing touchdowns (10 INT) with 283.6 yards per game through 15 games to lead the Chargers. In seven home games this season, he has thrown for nine TDs (6 INT) and an average of 295.3 yards.

Austin Ekeler has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 50.6 yards a game through 15 games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, racking up 43.1 yards a game through the air.

He has 16 total touchdowns, 11 rushing and five receiving. Mike Williams has been a key target in the Chargers’ aerial attack. He has four touchdowns and a 69.9 yard per game average through 11 appearances. Mike Williams is averaging 7.1 targets per game (4.7 receptions).


The Rams are looking to reverse a five-game road losing streak this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Chargers -6.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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