Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs 11/20/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs 11/20/22
Sun 20th November 2022

The Los Angeles Chargers (5-4, 2-2 Home) play host to the Kansas City Chiefs (7-2, 3-1 Away), who will be looking to build on their winning run, at SoFi Stadium on Sunday. The Chiefs are five-point favorites, and the total is 52.

Kansas City is coming off a 27-17 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium last Sunday, their third straight victory. Patrick Mahomes was 26 of 35 for 331 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. Isiah Pacheco ran 16 times for 82 yards.

Travis Kelce caught six passes for 81 yards and a touchdown. Los Angeles lost 22-16 to the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium last Sunday.

Justin Herbert threw for 196 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Austin Ekeler carried six times for 24 yards and added seven catches for 39 yards. DeAndre Carter scored once. He caught four receptions for 64 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Chiefs won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 27-24 victory in September. Patrick Mahomes threw two touchdowns for Kansas City. Justin Herbert tossed three touchdowns for Los Angeles.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Chiefs are averaging 30.0 points per game for the season, best in the NFL, and they are facing a Chargers defense that has surrendered 25.3 PPG (29th). Meanwhile, Los Angeles has scored 22.2 points a game this season, 16th in the league, and Kansas City is allowing 22.9 PPG (19th).

The Chiefs rank as the league’s top team in passing yards per game (326.2, 1st), while they are 21st in rushing yards (109.2). The Chargers are 12th in passing yards allowed per game (226.1) and 30th against the run (146.8).

Los Angeles has been one of the league’s least productive rushing teams, averaging 84.9 yards per game (30th), while ranking sixth in passing yards (272.2). Kansas City’s defense has been strong on the ground, as the Chiefs are 5th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (99.0).

Against the pass, the Chiefs are 27th (269.3).Kansas City is averaging 4.3 trips to the red zone a game this season (3rd in the NFL), finding the end zone a league-best 74% of the time.

TOP PERFORMERS

Through nine games, Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 25 touchdowns (7 INT) and 326.2 yards per game to lead Kansas City in passing. In four away games this season, he has 12 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 323.5 yards passing.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads the team in rushing with an average of 36.6 yards a game over eight games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Travis Kelce is the Chiefs’ leading receiver with 82.2 yards a game and eight TDs. He is averaging 7.0 receptions on 9.3 targets per game.

Justin Herbert has 14 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 272.2 yards per game through nine games to lead Los Angeles. In four home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 276.8 yards.

Austin Ekeler has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 50.1 yards a game through nine games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, racking up 46.7 yards a game through the air.

He has 10 total touchdowns, six rushing and four receiving. Mike Williams has been a key target in the Chargers’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 70.7 yard per game average through seven appearances. Mike Williams is averaging 8.4 targets per game (5.3 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

KC Chiefs -5.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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