Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos 10/17/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos 10/17/22
Mon 17th October 2022

The Los Angeles Chargers (3-2, 1-1 Home) and their powerful passing offense host the Denver Broncos (2-3, 0-2 Away) and their tremendous aerial defense at SoFi Stadium on Monday. The Chargers are 4.5-point favorites, and the total is 45.5.Denver is coming off a close 12-9 loss to the Indianapolis Colts at Empower Field at Mile High last Thursday. Russell Wilson was 21 of 39 for 274 yards and two interceptions. Melvin Gordon III ran 15 times for 54 yards. He added three receptions for 49 yards. Courtland Sutton was targeted 11 times, catching five passes for 74 yards.Los Angeles beat the Cleveland Browns 30-28 at FirstEnergy Stadium last Sunday. Justin Herbert threw for 228 yards and a touchdown. Austin Ekeler scored on the ground and through the air. He carried 16 times for 173 yards and a touchdown. Mike Williams was targeted 13 times, hauling in 10 receptions for 134 yards.


The teams split their two meetings last season, the last of which was a 34-13 win for the Chargers in January. Justin Herbert threw two touchdowns for Los Angeles.


The Broncos are averaging 15.0 points per game for the season, 31st in the NFL, and they are facing a Chargers defense that has surrendered 27.2 PPG (30th). Meanwhile, Los Angeles has scored 24.4 points a game this season, ninth in the league, and Denver is allowing 16.0 PPG (4th).The Broncos rank 16th in the league in passing yards per game (250.8) and 19th in rushing (112.6), while the Chargers are 20th in passing yards allowed per game (253.6) and 24th against the run (130.4).Los Angeles has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 295.6 passing yards per game (2nd), while ranking 22nd in rushing yards (99.2). Denver’s defense has been equally impressive through the air, as the Broncos are 4th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (204.4). Against the run, the Broncos are 14th (112.4).Denver is averaging 2.8 trips to the red zone a game this season (30th in the NFL), finding the end zone a league-worst 21% of the time.


Through five games, Russell Wilson has thrown for four touchdowns (3 INT) and 250.8 yards per game to lead Denver in passing. In two away games this season, he has three TDs and an average of 288.5 yards passing. Javonte Williams leads the team in rushing with an average of 51.0 yards a game over four games. Courtland Sutton is the Broncos’ leading receiver with 83.4 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 5.8 receptions on 9.2 targets per game. Justin Herbert has 10 passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 295.6 yards per game through five games to lead Los Angeles. In two home games this season, he has thrown for four TDs (1 INT) and an average of 288.0 yards. Austin Ekeler has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 62.6 yards a game through five games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, posting 42.8 yards a game through the air. He has five total touchdowns, three rushing and two receiving. Mike Williams has been the primary target in the Chargers’ passing game. He has two touchdowns and a 78.4 yard per game average through five appearances. Mike Williams is averaging 8.8 targets per game (5.6 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Chargers

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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