Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans 10/23/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans 10/23/22
Sun 23rd October 2022

The Houston Texans (1-3-1, 1-2-0 Away) travel to face the Las Vegas Raiders (1-4, 1-1 Home) at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday. The Raiders are seven-point favorites, and the total is 45.5. Houston is coming off a 13-6 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field on October 9. Davis Mills was 16 of 24 for 140 yards.

Dameon Pierce ran 26 times for 99 yards and a touchdown. Nico Collins caught four passes for 65 yards. Las Vegas lost 30-29 to the Kansas City Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on October 10. Derek Carr threw for 241 yards and two touchdowns.

Josh Jacobs carried 21 times for 154 yards and a touchdown and added five catches for 39 yards. Davante Adams added two touchdowns of his own. He caught three receptions for 124 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2019, a 27-24 win for the Texans.


The Texans are averaging 17.2 points per game for the season, 26th in the NFL, and they are facing a Raiders defense that has surrendered 26.0 PPG (28th). Meanwhile, Las Vegas has scored 25.0 points a game this season, sixth in the league, and Houston is allowing 19.8 PPG (13th).

The Texans rank 26th in the league in passing yards per game (209.6) and 22nd in rushing (99.2). They can expect a tough test on the ground, as the Raiders are fifth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (103.2).

Against the pass, Las Vegas is 25th (269.8).Las Vegas is 10th in the league in passing yards per game (256.6) and 14th in rushing (121.4).

Houston’s defense has been most vulnerable on the ground, as the Texans are 30th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (164.8). Against the pass, the Texans are 22nd (260.6). Houston is averaging 2.0 trips to the red zone a game this season, zeroth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 60% of the time (10th).

The Texans will be looking to improve on those numbers against the league’s weakest red zone defense, as the Raiders have allowed opponents to score on 82% of red zone trips.


Through five games, Davis Mills has thrown for five touchdowns (4 INT) and 209.6 yards per game to lead Houston in passing. In three away games this season, he has one TD (2 INT) and an average of 187.3 yards passing.

Dameon Pierce leads the team in rushing with an average of 82.4 yards a game over five games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Nico Collins is the Texans’ leading receiver with 54.4 yards a game. Derek Carr has eight passing touchdowns (4 INT) with 255.8 yards per game through five games to lead Las Vegas.

In two home games this season, he has thrown for two TDs and an average of 220.0 yards. Josh Jacobs has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 98.0 yards a game through five games. He has three touchdowns.

Davante Adams has been a key target in the Raiders’ aerial attack. He has five touchdowns and an 82.8 yard per game average through five appearances. Davante Adams is averaging 10.8 targets per game (5.8 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LV Raiders (-300)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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