Free NFL Picks Today: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans 11/6/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans 11/6/22
Sun 6th November 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs (5-2, 2-1 Home) welcome the Tennessee Titans (5-2, 3-1 Away), who will be looking to extend their winning streak, at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. The Chiefs are 12.5-point favorites, and the total is 46.

Tennessee is coming off a 17-10 win over the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium last Sunday, their fifth straight victory. Malik Willis was 6 of 10 for 55 yards and an interception. Derrick Henry ran 32 times for 219 yards and two touchdowns.

Robert Woods caught two passes for 26 yards. Kansas City beat the San Francisco 49ers 44-23 at Levi’s Stadium on October 23. Patrick Mahomes threw for 423 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception.

Isiah Pacheco carried eight times for 43 yards. JuJu Smith-Schuster scored once. He was targeted eight times, hauling in seven receptions for 124 yards.


The Titans won the only meeting between the teams last season, a 27-3 victory in October. Ryan Tannehill tossed one touchdown for Tennessee, as A.J. Brown scored once.


The Titans are averaging 18.9 points per game for the season, 24th in the NFL, and they are facing a Chiefs defense that has surrendered 24.6 PPG (23rd). Meanwhile, Kansas City has scored 31.9 points a game this season, best in the league, and Tennessee is allowing 19.7 PPG (9th).

The Titans rank as one of the league’s worst teams in passing yards per game (165.4, 31st), while they are ninth in rushing yards (138.0). They may find their best opportunities through the air, as the Chiefs are 31st in the league in passing yards allowed per game (297.9).

Against the run, Kansas City is third (92.0).Kansas City has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 308.4 passing yards per game (2nd), while ranking 23rd in rushing yards (107.3). The Titans are allowing 274.6 passing yards (25th) and 89.1 rushing yards per game (2nd).

Tennessee has found the end zone on 77% of red zone trips this season, second most in the NFL, making the most of the relatively few 2.4 trips a game (33rd). Kansas City ranks as the biggest red zone threat in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line 4.3 times per game (5th) and scoring a touchdown on 77% of those possessions (1st).


Through six games, Ryan Tannehill has thrown for six touchdowns (3 INT) and 182.8 yards per game to lead Tennessee in passing. In three away games this season, he has three TDs (2 INT) and an average of 145.0 yards passing.

Derrick Henry leads the team in rushing with an average of 107.9 yards a game over seven games. He has seven touchdowns on the ground. Robert Woods is the Titans’ leading receiver with 36.6 yards a game and one TD.

Patrick Mahomes has 20 passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 308.4 yards per game through seven games to lead Kansas City. In three home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (2 INT) and an average of 288.3 yards.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 41.1 yards a game through seven games. He has six total touchdowns, three rushing and three receiving.

Travis Kelce has been the primary target in the Chiefs’ aerial attack. He has seven touchdowns and a 79.0 yard per game average through seven appearances. Travis Kelce is averaging 8.6 targets per game (6.7 receptions).


Tennessee has won three in a row away from Nissan Stadium this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

KC Chiefs (-600)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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