Free NFL Picks Today: Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders 10/10/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders 10/10/22
Mon 10th October 2022

The Kansas City Chiefs (3-1, 1-0 Home) host the Las Vegas Raiders (1-3, 0-2 Away) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday. The Chiefs are seven-point favorites, and the total is 51.5. Las Vegas is coming off a 32-23 win over the Denver Broncos at Allegiant Stadium last Sunday. Derek Carr was 21 of 34 for 188 yards. Josh Jacobs ran 28 times for 144 yards and two touchdowns. He added five receptions for 31 yards. Davante Adams was targeted 13 times, catching nine passes for 101 yards. Kansas City beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 41-31 at Raymond James Stadium last Sunday. Patrick Mahomes threw for 249 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception. Clyde Edwards-Helaire scored on the ground and through the air. He carried 19 times for 92 yards and a touchdown. Travis Kelce added a touchdown of his own. He was targeted 10 times, hauling in nine receptions for 92 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Chiefs won both games between the teams last season, including a 48-9 win in their last meeting in December, their third straight win against Las Vegas. Patrick Mahomes threw two touchdowns for Kansas City.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Raiders are averaging 24.0 points per game so far this season, 10th in the NFL, and they are facing a Chiefs defense that has surrendered 24.0 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, Kansas City has scored 32.3 points a game this season, second in the league, and Las Vegas is allowing 25.0 PPG (23rd). The Raiders rank 13th in the league in passing yards per game (260.5) and 14th in rushing (113.0). They will face a tough test on the ground, as the Chiefs are No. 1 in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (65.8). Against the pass, Kansas City is 28th (286.5). Kansas City is eighth in the league in passing yards per game (276.5) and 11th in rushing (117.0), while the Raiders are allowing 264.3 passing yards (21st) and 103.3 rushing yards per game (10th). Kansas City ranks as one of the biggest red zone threats in the NFL, scoring a touchdown on 74% (4th) of the team’s possessions inside the 20. Las Vegas has had difficulty defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 77% of the time (30th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through four games, Derek Carr has thrown for six touchdowns (4 INT) and 259.5 yards per game to lead Las Vegas in passing. In two away games this season, he has four TDs (4 INT) and an average of 299.0 yards passing. Josh Jacobs leads the team in rushing with an average of 84.0 yards a game over four games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Davante Adams is the Raiders’ leading receiver with 72.5 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 6.5 receptions on 11.8 targets per game. Patrick Mahomes has 11 passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 276.5 yards per game through four games to lead Kansas City. In one prior home game this season, he threw for two TDs and 235 yards. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 52.0 yards a game through four games. He has five total touchdowns, two rushing and three receiving. Travis Kelce has been the primary target in the Chiefs’ passing game. He has three touchdowns and an 80.5 yard per game average through four appearances. Travis Kelce is averaging 8.5 targets per game (6.5 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

KC Chiefs (-350)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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