The Kansas City Chiefs (6-2, 3-1 Home) host the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6, 1-3 Away) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday. The Chiefs are 9.5-point favorites, and the total is 50.5. Jacksonville is coming off a 27-20 win over the Las Vegas Raiders at TIAA Bank Field last Sunday.
Trevor Lawrence was 25 of 31 for 235 yards and a touchdown. Travis Etienne Jr. ran 28 times for 109 yards and two touchdowns. Christian Kirk was targeted nine times, catching eight passes for 76 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City beat the Tennessee Titans 20-17 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium last Sunday.
Patrick Mahomes threw for 446 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. He added 63 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Travis Kelce was targeted 17 times, hauling in 10 receptions for 106 yards.
The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2019, a 40-26 win for the Chiefs.
TALE OF THE TAPE
The Jaguars are averaging 22.1 points per game for the season, 18th in the NFL, and they are facing a Chiefs defense that has surrendered 23.6 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, Kansas City has scored 30.4 points a game this season, best in the league, and Jacksonville is allowing 19.8 PPG (11th).
The Jaguars rank 22nd in the league in passing yards per game (230.6) and seventh in rushing (146.8). They will face a tough test on the ground, as the Chiefs are fifth in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (102.0).
Against the pass, Kansas City is 26th (270.6). Kansas City has been the league’s top passing team, averaging 325.6 passing yards per game, while ranking 23rd in rushing yards (103.5). The Jaguars are allowing 250.1 passing yards (22nd) and 105.1 rushing yards per game (7th).
Kansas City ranks as one of the most productive red zone offenses in the NFL, scoring a touchdown 74% of the time (2nd) when the team moves inside the 20.
Through nine games, Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 11 touchdowns (6 INT) and 230.6 yards per game to lead Jacksonville in passing. In four away games this season, he has seven TDs (2 INT) and an average of 219.0 yards passing. Travis Etienne Jr. leads the team in rushing with an average of 75.6 yards a game over nine games. He has four touchdowns on the ground.
Christian Kirk is the Jaguars’ leading receiver with 63.8 yards a game and five TDs. He is averaging 4.8 receptions on 7.8 targets per game. Patrick Mahomes has 21 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 325.6 yards per game through eight games to lead Kansas City. In four home games this season, he has thrown for nine TDs (3 INT) and an average of 327.8 yards.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 36.6 yards a game through eight games. He has six total touchdowns, three rushing and three receiving. Travis Kelce has been the primary target in the Chiefs’ aerial attack.
He has seven touchdowns and an 82.4 yard per game average through eight appearances. Travis Kelce is averaging 9.6 targets per game (7.1 receptions).
SportsTips’ NFL Pick:
KC Chiefs -9.5 (-110)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.