Free NFL Picks Today: Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills 10/16/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills 10/16/22
Sun 16th October 2022

The league’s top two scoring offenses are set to face off at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday, as the Kansas City Chiefs (4-1, 2-0 Home) host the Buffalo Bills (4-1, 2-1 Away). The Bills are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 54. Buffalo is coming off a runaway 38-3 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers at Highmark Stadium last Sunday. Josh Allen was 20 of 31 for 424 yards with four touchdowns and an interception. Devin Singletary ran six times for 42 yards. Gabe Davis caught three passes for 171 yards and two touchdowns. Kansas City beat the Las Vegas Raiders 30-29 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday. Patrick Mahomes threw for 292 yards and four touchdowns. Jerick McKinnon carried eight times for 53 yards. Marquez Valdes-Scantling was targeted eight times, hauling in six receptions for 90 yards.


The teams last met in last season’s AFC Divisional Playoffs when the Chiefs secured their place in the Conference Championship with a 42-36 overtime victory. The Bills won the only regular season game between the teams last year, a 38-20 victory in October.


The Bills are averaging 30.4 points per game for the season, second in the NFL, and they are facing a Chiefs defense that has surrendered 25.0 PPG (24th). Meanwhile, Kansas City has scored 31.8 points a game this season, best in the league, and Buffalo is allowing 12.2 PPG (1st). The Bills rank as the league’s top team in passing yards per game (331.8, 1st), while they are 14th in rushing yards (116.4). The Chiefs are 27th in passing yards allowed per game (277.4) and third against the run (83.6).Kansas City has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 279.6 passing yards per game (4th), while ranking 18th in rushing yards (114.2). Buffalo’s defense has been equally impressive through the air, as the Bills are 3rd in the league in passing yards allowed per game (204.0). Against the run, the Bills are 2nd (77.8).Kansas City ranks as one of the most productive red zone offenses in the NFL, scoring a touchdown 78% of the time (3rd) when the team advances inside the 20.


Through five games, Josh Allen has thrown for 14 touchdowns (4 INT) and 330.2 yards per game to lead Buffalo in passing. In three away games this season, he has six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 303.3 yards passing. Josh Allen also leads the team in rushing with an average of 45.0 yards per game. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Stefon Diggs is the Bills’ leading receiver with 101.6 yards a game and five TDs. He is averaging 7.8 receptions on 10.4 targets per game. Patrick Mahomes has 15 passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 279.6 yards per game through five games to lead Kansas City. In two home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs and an average of 263.5 yards. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 44.6 yards a game through five games. He has five total touchdowns, two rushing and three receiving. Travis Kelce has been the primary target in the Chiefs’ aerial attack. He has seven touchdowns and a 69.4 yard per game average through five appearances. Travis Kelce is averaging 8.4 targets per game (6.6 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Buffalo Bills (-145)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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