Free NFL Picks Today: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans 10/9/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans 10/9/22
Sun 9th October 2022

The Houston Texans (0-3-1, 0-2-0 Away) continue their pursuit of their first win when they head to face the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2, 1-0 Home) at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday. The Jaguars are seven-point favorites, and the total is 43.5. Houston is coming off a 34-24 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers at NRG Stadium last Sunday, their third straight defeat. Davis Mills was 26 of 35 for 246 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Dameon Pierce ran 14 times for 131 yards and a touchdown. Nico Collins caught three passes for 82 yards. Jacksonville lost 29-21 to the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field last Sunday. Trevor Lawrence threw for 174 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Travis Etienne Jr. carried eight times for 32 yards. Christian Kirk was targeted nine times, hauling in two receptions for 60 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Texans won both games between the teams last season, including a 30-16 win in their last meeting in December, their eighth straight win against Jacksonville. Davis Mills threw two touchdowns for Houston, as Brandin Cooks scored twice.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Texans are averaging 18.3 points per game so far this season, 25th in the NFL, and they are facing a Jaguars defense that has surrendered 16.8 PPG (4th). Meanwhile, Jacksonville has scored 26.3 points a game this season, sixth in the league, and Houston is allowing 23.3 PPG (17th). The Texans rank 22nd in the league in passing yards per game (227.0) and 25th in rushing (95.0), while the Jaguars are 16th in passing yards allowed per game (252.3) and eighth against the run (93.8). Jacksonville is 20th in the league in passing yards per game (236.5) and 17th in rushing (110.3). Houston’s defense has been most susceptible on the ground, as the Texans are 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (172.0). Against the pass, the Texans are 17th (254.3).Houston is averaging 2.2 red zone trips a game this season, zeroth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 56% of the time (19th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through four games, Davis Mills has thrown for five touchdowns (4 INT) and 227.0 yards per game to lead Houston in passing. In two away games this season, he has one TD (2 INT) and an average of 211.0 yards passing. Dameon Pierce leads the team in rushing with an average of 78.3 yards a game over four games. He has two touchdowns on the ground. Brandin Cooks is the Texans’ leading receiver with 53.8 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 5.0 receptions on 9.0 targets per game. Trevor Lawrence has eight passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 236.5 yards per game through four games to lead Jacksonville. In one prior home game this season, he threw for two TDs and 235 yards. James Robinson has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 64.8 yards a game through four games. He has four total touchdowns, three rushing and one receiving. Christian Kirk has been a key target in the Jaguars’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and an 81.8 yard per game average through four appearances. Christian Kirk is averaging 9.0 targets per game (5.0 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Jacksonville Jaguars (-350)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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