Free NFL Picks Today: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys 12/18/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys 12/18/22
Sun 18th December 2022

The Jacksonville Jaguars (5-8, 3-3 Home) host the Dallas Cowboys (10-3, 3-2 Away), who will be out to build on their winning run, at TIAA Bank Field on Sunday. The Cowboys are four-point favorites, and the total is 48. Dallas is coming off a 27-23 win over the Houston Texans at AT&T Stadium last Sunday, their fourth consecutive victory.

Dak Prescott was 24 of 39 for 284 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Ezekiel Elliott ran 15 times for 62 yards and a touchdown. Dalton Schultz was targeted 10 times, catching six passes for 87 yards.

Jacksonville beat the Tennessee Titans 36-22 at Nissan Stadium last Sunday. Trevor Lawrence threw for 368 yards and three touchdowns. Travis Etienne Jr. carried 17 times for 32 yards. Evan Engram scored twice. He was targeted 15 times, hauling in 11 receptions for 162 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2018, a 40-7 win for the Cowboys.


The Cowboys are averaging 27.7 points per game for the season, third in the NFL, and they are facing a Jaguars defense that has surrendered 22.6 PPG (15th). Meanwhile, Jacksonville has scored 22.6 points a game this season, 15th in the league, and Dallas is allowing 17.6 PPG (3rd).

The Cowboys rank 23rd in the league in passing yards per game (222.9) and seventh in rushing (144.5), while the Jaguars are 27th in passing yards allowed per game (263.9) and 14th against the run (115.4). Jacksonville is 11th in the league in passing yards per game (246.8) and 15th in rushing (122.2).

Dallas’ defense has been strong through the air, as the Cowboys are 4th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (207.2). Against the run, the Cowboys are 23rd (128.5).

Dallas has found the end zone on 71% of red zone trips this season, third most in the NFL, averaging 3.2 trips a game (18th).


Through eight games, Dak Prescott has thrown for 14 touchdowns (9 INT) and 230.9 yards per game to lead Dallas in passing. In two away games this season, he has five TDs (2 INT) and an average of 270.5 yards passing.

Tony Pollard leads the team in rushing with an average of 68.8 yards a game over 13 games. He has nine touchdowns on the ground. CeeDee Lamb is the Cowboys’ leading receiver with 73.9 yards a game and six TDs. He is averaging 5.7 receptions on 9.0 targets per game.

Trevor Lawrence has 20 passing touchdowns (6 INT) with 246.3 yards per game through 13 games to lead Jacksonville. In six home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (4 INT) and an average of 253.3 yards.

Travis Etienne Jr. has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 62.6 yards a game through 13 games. He has four touchdowns.

Christian Kirk has been the primary target in the Jaguars’ aerial attack. He has seven touchdowns and a 67.2 yard per game average through 13 appearances. Christian Kirk is averaging 8.2 targets per game (5.2 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Dallas Cowboys (-210)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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