The Indianapolis Colts (3-3-1, 2-1-0 Home) host the Washington Commanders (3-4, 1-2 Away) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Sunday. The Colts are three-point favorites, and the total is 39.5. Washington is coming off a narrow 23-21 win over the Green Bay Packers at FedEx Field last Sunday. Taylor Heinicke was 20 of 33 for 201 yards with two touchdowns and an interception.
Brian Robinson Jr. ran 20 times for 73 yards. Terry McLaurin was targeted eight times, catching five passes for 73 yards and a touchdown. Indianapolis lost 19-10 to the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium last Sunday. Matt Ryan threw for 243 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. Jonathan Taylor carried 10 times for 58 yards. Parris Campbell scored once. He was targeted 12 times, hauling in 10 receptions for 70 yards.
The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2018, a 21-9 win for the Colts.
TALE OF THE TAPE
The Commanders are averaging 17.9 points per game for the season, 25th in the NFL, and they are facing a Colts defense that has surrendered 20.0 PPG (13th). Meanwhile, Indianapolis has scored 16.1 points a game this season, 30th in the league, and Washington is allowing 22.3 PPG (19th).
The Commanders rank 17th in the league in passing yards per game (241.4) and 22nd in rushing (105.6). They can expect a tough test through the air, as the Colts are fourth in the league in passing yards allowed per game (206.4).
Against the run, Indianapolis is 23rd (123.4).Indianapolis has been one of the league’s least productive rushing teams, averaging 81.0 yards per game (30th), while ranking sixth in passing yards (286.9). The Commanders are allowing 237.0 passing yards (17th) and 118.3 rushing yards per game (16th).
Washington is averaging 2.6 red zone trips a game this season, second lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 50% of the time (22nd). Indianapolis ranks as the one of the lowest volume red zone offenses in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line just 2.9 times per game (30th) and scoring a touchdown on 50% of those possessions (22nd).
Through six games, Carson Wentz has thrown for 10 touchdowns (6 INT) and 248.2 yards per game to lead Washington in passing. In three away games this season, he has four TDs (3 INT) and an average of 202.0 yards passing. Antonio Gibson leads the team in rushing with an average of 39.0 yards a game over seven games. He has two touchdowns on the ground.
Terry McLaurin is the Commanders’ leading receiver with 62.9 yards a game and two TDs. Matt Ryan has nine passing touchdowns (9 INT) with 286.9 yards per game through seven games to lead Indianapolis. In three home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (1 INT) and an average of 322.3 yards. Jonathan Taylor has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 77.2 yards a game through five games.
He has one touchdown. Michael Pittman Jr. has been the primary target in the Colts’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 79.2 yard per game average through six appearances. Michael Pittman Jr. is averaging 10.2 targets per game (7.3 receptions).
SportsTips’ NFL Pick:
Indianapolis Colts (-145)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.