Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers 11/28/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers 11/28/22
Mon 28th November 2022

The Indianapolis Colts (4-6-1, 2-3-0 Home) play host to the Pittsburgh Steelers (3-7, 1-4 Away) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday. The Colts are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 39. Pittsburgh is coming off a 37-30 loss against the Cincinnati Bengals at Acrisure Stadium last Sunday. Kenny Pickett was 25 of 42 for 265 yards and a touchdown. Najee Harris ran 20 times for 90 yards and two touchdowns. George Pickens caught four passes for 83 yards and a touchdown.

Indianapolis lost 17-16 to the Philadelphia Eagles at Lucas Oil Stadium last Sunday. Matt Ryan threw for 213 yards. Jonathan Taylor carried 22 times for 84 yards and a touchdown. Michael Pittman Jr. hauled in six receptions for 75 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since December 2020, a 28-24 win for the Steelers. Ben Roethlisberger threw three touchdowns for Pittsburgh.


The Steelers are averaging 17.0 points per game for the season, 28th in the NFL, and they are facing a Colts defense that has surrendered 20.0 PPG (11th). Meanwhile, Indianapolis has scored 15.7 points a game this season, 31st in the league, and Pittsburgh is allowing 24.4 PPG (26th).

The Steelers rank 23rd in the league in passing yards per game (222.8) and 22nd in rushing (107.8), while the Colts are sixth in passing yards allowed per game (209.9) and 12th against the run (113.5). Indianapolis is 10th in the league in passing yards per game (249.7) and 26th in rushing (98.7).

Pittsburgh’s defense has been most beatable through the air, as the Steelers are 30th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (283.7). Against the run, the Steelers are 7th (103.4). Indianapolis ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the NFL, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.7 times per game (31st) and scoring a touchdown on just 43% of those possessions (30th).


Through seven games, Kenny Pickett has thrown for three touchdowns (8 INT) and 203.7 yards per game to lead Pittsburgh in passing. In three away games this season, he has one TD (5 INT) and an average of 258.3 yards passing. Najee Harris leads the team in rushing with an average of 55.0 yards a game over 10 games. He has three touchdowns on the ground.

Pat Freiermuth is the Steelers’ leading receiver with 53.6 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 4.9 receptions on 7.4 targets per game. Matt Ryan has 10 passing touchdowns (9 INT) with 271.4 yards per game through nine games to lead Indianapolis. In four home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (1 INT) and an average of 295.0 yards.

Jonathan Taylor has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 86.6 yards a game through eight games. He has three touchdowns. Michael Pittman Jr. has been the primary target in the Colts’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 67.8 yard per game average through 10 appearances. Michael Pittman Jr. is averaging 9.2 targets per game (6.7 receptions).


Pittsburgh has lost four in a row on the road this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Pittsburgh Steelers (+120)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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