Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers 12/26/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers 12/26/22
Mon 26th December 2022

The Indianapolis Colts (4-9-1, 2-4-0 Home) will be looking to end their losing run when they play host to the Los Angeles Chargers (8-6, 4-3 Away) at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday. The Chargers are four-point favorites, and the total is 45.5.

Los Angeles is coming off a close 17-14 win over the Tennessee Titans at SoFi Stadium last Sunday. Justin Herbert was 28 of 42 for 313 yards and two interceptions. Austin Ekeler ran 12 times for 58 yards and a touchdown. Keenan Allen was targeted nine times, catching eight passes for 86 yards.

Indianapolis dropped a fourth straight game last Saturday, falling 39-36 to the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Matt Ryan threw for 182 yards and a touchdown. Zack Moss carried 24 times for 81 yards. Michael Pittman Jr. was targeted 14 times, hauling in 10 receptions for 60 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since September 2019, a 30-24 win for the Chargers.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Chargers are averaging 22.3 points per game for the season, 14th in the NFL, and they are facing a Colts defense that has surrendered 24.1 PPG (23rd). Meanwhile, Indianapolis has scored 17.5 points a game this season, 29th in the league, and Los Angeles is allowing 24.3 PPG (25th).

The Chargers rank as one of the league’s top teams in passing yards per game (287.1, 3rd), while they are 31st in rushing yards (83.7). The Colts are 10th in passing yards allowed per game (222.4) and 20th against the run (123.7). Indianapolis is 15th in the league in passing yards per game (240.1) and 24th in rushing (105.2).

Los Angeles’ defense has been most vulnerable on the ground, as the Chargers are 28th in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (145.6). Against the pass, the Chargers are 12th (223.9).

Indianapolis ranks as one of the least productive red zone offenses in the NFL, scoring a touchdown just 45% of the time (31st) when the team advances inside the 20.

TOP PERFORMERS

Through 14 games, Justin Herbert has thrown for 21 touchdowns (9 INT) and 287.1 yards per game to lead Los Angeles in passing. In seven away games this season, he has 12 TDs (3 INT) and an average of 278.9 yards passing. Austin Ekeler leads the team in rushing with an average of 49.4 yards a game over 14 games.

He’s also contributed to the passing game with 45.4 receiving yards a game. He has nine touchdowns on the ground. Joshua Palmer is the Chargers’ leading receiver with 54.9 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 5.1 receptions on 7.5 targets per game. Matt Ryan has 14 passing touchdowns (13 INT) with 254.8 yards per game through 12 games to lead Indianapolis.

In five home games this season, he has thrown for eight TDs (2 INT) and an average of 275.8 yards. Jonathan Taylor has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 86.1 yards a game through 10 games.

He has four touchdowns. Michael Pittman Jr. has been the primary target in the Colts’ aerial attack. He has two touchdowns and a 62.7 yard per game average through 13 appearances. Michael Pittman Jr. is averaging 9.3 targets per game (6.6 receptions).

HOME AND AWAY

Indianapolis has lost three in a row at home this season.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

LA Chargers (-200)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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