Free NFL Picks Today: Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders 11/20/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Houston Texans vs Washington Commanders 11/20/22
Sun 20th November 2022

The Washington Commanders (5-5, 3-2 Away) travel to take on the Houston Texans (1-7-1, 0-3-1 Home), who will be looking to end their losing run, at NRG Stadium on Sunday. The Commanders are three-point favorites, and the total is 41.

Washington is coming off a 32-21 win over the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field on Monday. Taylor Heinicke was 17 of 29 for 211 yards and an interception. Brian Robinson Jr. ran 26 times for 86 yards and a touchdown.

Terry McLaurin was targeted 11 times, catching eight passes for 128 yards. Houston dropped a fourth straight game last Sunday, falling 24-16 to the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium.

Davis Mills threw for 319 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Dameon Pierce carried 17 times for 94 yards. Jordan Akins had three receptions for 72 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since November 2018, a 23-21 win for the Texans.


The Commanders are averaging 19.1 points per game for the season, 24th in the NFL, and they are facing a Texans defense that has surrendered 23.0 PPG (20th). Meanwhile, Houston has scored 16.6 points a game this season, 28th in the league, and Washington is allowing 21.3 PPG (15th).

The Commanders rank 21st in the league in passing yards per game (232.9) and 20th in rushing (112.4). Look for them to take advantage on the ground, as the Texans are worst in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (181.8).

Against the pass, Houston is 13th (226.6).Houston is 23rd in the league in passing yards per game (219.4) and 26th in rushing (101.8), while the Commanders are allowing 229.7 passing yards (16th) and 111.3 rushing yards per game (12th).

Washington is averaging an NFL-worst 2.5 red zone trips a game this season, finding the end zone 56% of the time (15th). Houston ranks as one of the weakest red zone threats in the league, moving inside the 20-yard-line only 2.8 times per game (29th) and scoring a touchdown on just 44% of those possessions (31st).


Through six games, Carson Wentz has thrown for 10 touchdowns (6 INT) and 248.2 yards per game to lead Washington in passing. In three away games this season, he has four TDs (3 INT) and an average of 202.0 yards passing.

Antonio Gibson leads the team in rushing with an average of 37.2 yards a game over 10 games. He has three touchdowns on the ground. Terry McLaurin is the Commanders’ leading receiver with 73.7 yards a game and two TDs.

He is averaging 4.6 receptions on 7.3 targets per game. Davis Mills has 11 passing touchdowns (9 INT) with 219.4 yards per game through nine games to lead Houston. In four home games this season, he has thrown for seven TDs (5 INT) and an average of 198.0 yards.

Dameon Pierce has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 85.8 yards a game through nine games. He has four total touchdowns, three rushing and one receiving.

Brandin Cooks has been the primary target in the Texans’ passing game. He has one touchdown and a 48.9 yard per game average through eight appearances. Brandin Cooks is averaging 7.5 targets per game (4.5 receptions).


Houston has yet to taste victory at home this season in four games.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Houston Texans (+130)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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